Polymarket traders' unanimous consensus on a Bank of Russia key rate decrease—now at 100% implied probability—stems from the central bank's April 24, 2026, decision to cut the benchmark by 50 basis points to 14.5%, marking the eighth consecutive easing move from a 2025 peak amid disinflation toward the 4% target. Sustained price growth slowdown to 4.5–5.5% projected for 2026, coupled with economic contraction signals and Reuters polls forecasting the trim, drove pre-announcement positioning, reflecting wisdom-of-crowds sentiment backed by real capital. Realistic challenges would require abrupt inflation reacceleration from fiscal loosening or external shocks, though the regulator signaled data-dependent further cuts at upcoming meetings.