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Oscars 2026: Best Picture Nominations

$1,109,941 Vol.

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed movie is nominated for the 98th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2025 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,109,941
End Date
Jan 22, 2026
Created At
Sep 26, 2025, 9:12 PM UTC
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Beware of external links.

$1,109,941 Vol.

Market icon

Oscars 2026: Best Picture Nominations

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

One Battle After Another

$243,279 Vol.

99%

Hamnet

$97,391 Vol.

99%

Sinners

$31,086 Vol.

99%

Marty Supreme

$40,164 Vol.

98%

Frankenstein

$46,540 Vol.

97%

Sentimental Value

$12,104 Vol.

94%

It Was Just an Accident

$34,139 Vol.

92%

Bugonia

$39,841 Vol.

83%

Train Dreams

$41,547 Vol.

77%

F1

$18,542 Vol.

18%

Avatar: Fire and Ash

$38,252 Vol.

15%

No Other Choice

$42,488 Vol.

14%

Weapons

$24,158 Vol.

9%

Wicked: For Good

$71,119 Vol.

8%

Jay Kelly

$54,572 Vol.

8%

Sorry Baby

$2,758 Vol.

6%

Nouvelle Vague

$5,808 Vol.

4%

The Testament of Ann Lee

$25,422 Vol.

3%

A House of Dynamite

$17,435 Vol.

3%

Rental Family

$32,185 Vol.

2%

The Smashing Machine

$24,799 Vol.

2%

Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery

$4,282 Vol.

2%

Thunderbolts

$20,555 Vol.

1%

Springsteen: Deliver Me From Nowhere

$7,483 Vol.

1%

Die My Love

$22,323 Vol.

1%

Anemone

$39,204 Vol.

1%

The Lost Bus

$16,637 Vol.

1%

The Life of Chuck

$28,138 Vol.

1%

Highest 2 Lowest

$22,462 Vol.

1%

After the Hunt

$1,000 Vol.

<1%

Warfare

$1,533 Vol.

<1%

Sound of Falling

$1,594 Vol.

<1%

Novocaine

$1,101 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$1,109,941
End Date
Jan 22, 2026
Created At
Sep 26, 2025, 9:12 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.