Gold futures (GC) hover around $2,662 for late-March delivery after retreating 2% from all-time highs above $2,730 hit last week, pressured by a stronger U.S. dollar and climbing 10-year Treasury yields to 4.35% following resilient retail sales and manufacturing data that tempered aggressive Federal Reserve rate-cut expectations. Central bank purchases, particularly from China and India, alongside persistent Middle East tensions, sustain safe-haven demand, while implied real yields near zero provide fundamental support. Traders eye Thursday's PCE inflation report and Powell's comments for clues on March FOMC path; a softer-than-expected reading could propel prices back above $2,700, with quarter-end positioning adding volatility ahead of settlement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedGold (GC) above ___ end of March?
Gold (GC) above ___ end of March?
$149,786 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
$7,000
<1%
$6,500
<1%
$6,000
<1%
$5,800
1%
$5,600
1%
$5,400
1%
$5,200
2%
$5,000
3%
$4,800
7%
$4,600
34%
$4,400
71%
$4,000
97%
$149,786 Vol.
$7,000
$16,086 Vol.
<1%
$6,500
$0 Vol.
<1%
$6,000
$18,070 Vol.
<1%
$5,800
$30,795 Vol.
1%
$5,600
$0 Vol.
1%
$5,400
$43,930 Vol.
1%
$5,200
$4,403 Vol.
2%
$5,000
$9,889 Vol.
3%
$4,800
$10,832 Vol.
7%
$4,600
$6,104 Vol.
34%
$4,400
$2,091 Vol.
71%
$4,000
$7,587 Vol.
97%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of March 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Gold futures (GC) hover around $2,662 for late-March delivery after retreating 2% from all-time highs above $2,730 hit last week, pressured by a stronger U.S. dollar and climbing 10-year Treasury yields to 4.35% following resilient retail sales and manufacturing data that tempered aggressive Federal Reserve rate-cut expectations. Central bank purchases, particularly from China and India, alongside persistent Middle East tensions, sustain safe-haven demand, while implied real yields near zero provide fundamental support. Traders eye Thursday's PCE inflation report and Powell's comments for clues on March FOMC path; a softer-than-expected reading could propel prices back above $2,700, with quarter-end positioning adding volatility ahead of settlement.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of March 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Market Opened: Mar 3, 2026, 2:56 PM ET
Volume
$149,786End Date
Mar 31, 2026Market Opened
Mar 3, 2026, 2:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of March 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Gold futures (GC) hover around $2,662 for late-March delivery after retreating 2% from all-time highs above $2,730 hit last week, pressured by a stronger U.S. dollar and climbing 10-year Treasury yields to 4.35% following resilient retail sales and manufacturing data that tempered aggressive Federal Reserve rate-cut expectations. Central bank purchases, particularly from China and India, alongside persistent Middle East tensions, sustain safe-haven demand, while implied real yields near zero provide fundamental support. Traders eye Thursday's PCE inflation report and Powell's comments for clues on March FOMC path; a softer-than-expected reading could propel prices back above $2,700, with quarter-end positioning adding volatility ahead of settlement.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of March 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Volume
$149,786End Date
Mar 31, 2026Market Opened
Mar 3, 2026, 2:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Gold futures (GC) hover around $2,662 for late-March delivery after retreating 2% from all-time highs above $2,730 hit last week, pressured by a stronger U.S. dollar and climbing 10-year Treasury yields to 4.35% following resilient retail sales and manufacturing data that tempered aggressive Federal Reserve rate-cut expectations. Central bank purchases, particularly from China and India, alongside persistent Middle East tensions, sustain safe-haven demand, while implied real yields near zero provide fundamental support. Traders eye Thursday's PCE inflation report and Powell's comments for clues on March FOMC path; a softer-than-expected reading could propel prices back above $2,700, with quarter-end positioning adding volatility ahead of settlement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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