AZ-01 Republican Primary Winner
$693 Vol.
Jason Duey 43%
Kari Lake 40.0%
Matt Gress 39.6%
Joseph Chaplik 34.7%
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
Jason Duey
$66 Vol.
43%
Jason Duey
$66 Vol.
43%
Kari Lake
$82 Vol.
40%
Kari Lake
$82 Vol.
40%
Matt Gress
$66 Vol.
40%
Matt Gress
$66 Vol.
40%
Joseph Chaplik
$119 Vol.
35%
Joseph Chaplik
$119 Vol.
35%
Gina Swoboda
$88 Vol.
26%
Gina Swoboda
$88 Vol.
26%
Mark Brnovich
$63 Vol.
8%
Mark Brnovich
$63 Vol.
8%
Todd Graham
$66 Vol.
8%
Todd Graham
$66 Vol.
8%
Muchelle Ugenti-Rita
$143 Vol.
3%
Muchelle Ugenti-Rita
$143 Vol.
3%
Rules
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Created At: Nov 25, 2025, 10:19 PM UTC
Volume
$693End Date
Aug 4, 2026Created At
Nov 25, 2025, 10:19 PM UTCResolver
0x2F5e3684c...$693 Vol.
AZ-01 Republican Primary Winner
Jason Duey 43%
Kari Lake 40.0%
Matt Gress 39.6%
Joseph Chaplik 34.7%
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
Jason Duey
$66 Vol.
43%
Kari Lake
$82 Vol.
40%
Matt Gress
$66 Vol.
40%
Joseph Chaplik
$119 Vol.
35%
Gina Swoboda
$88 Vol.
26%
Mark Brnovich
$63 Vol.
8%
Todd Graham
$66 Vol.
8%
Muchelle Ugenti-Rita
$143 Vol.
3%
About
Volume
$693End Date
Aug 4, 2026Created At
Nov 25, 2025, 10:19 PM UTCResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Beware of external links.
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