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Highest temperature in Wellington on March 29?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Wellington on March 29?

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

19°C 35%

20°C 30%

18°C 24%

22°C 6%

Polymarket
NEW

19°C 35%

20°C 30%

18°C 24%

22°C 6%

Polymarket
NEW

13°C or below

$366 Vol.

1%

14°C

$879 Vol.

1%

15°C

$493 Vol.

1%

16°C

$99 Vol.

4%

17°C

$112 Vol.

6%

18°C

$199 Vol.

24%

19°C

$173 Vol.

35%

20°C

$189 Vol.

30%

21°C

$131 Vol.

5%

22°C

$196 Vol.

6%

23°C or higher

$529 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 19°C (34%) or 20°C (30%) for Wellington on March 29, reflecting MetService New Zealand's latest forecast models showing an ensemble mean around 19-20°C under a stable high-pressure ridge. This tight clustering stems from minimal model spread in ECMWF and GFS runs over the past 48 hours, with light southerlies and partial cloud cover tempering peaks—18°C (24.5%) gains traction if thicker clouds persist, while 22°C or higher remains unlikely absent unexpected clear skies and northerlies. Historical late-March averages hover at 19.2°C, aligning with current neutral ENSO conditions; watch MetService's midday update for refined guidance as resolution nears.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$3,367
End Date
Mar 29, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 19°C (34%) or 20°C (30%) for Wellington on March 29, reflecting MetService New Zealand's latest forecast models showing an ensemble mean around 19-20°C under a stable high-pressure ridge. This tight clustering stems from minimal model spread in ECMWF and GFS runs over the past 48 hours, with light southerlies and partial cloud cover tempering peaks—18°C (24.5%) gains traction if thicker clouds persist, while 22°C or higher remains unlikely absent unexpected clear skies and northerlies. Historical late-March averages hover at 19.2°C, aligning with current neutral ENSO conditions; watch MetService's midday update for refined guidance as resolution nears.

Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 19°C (34%) or 20°C (30%) for Wellington on March 29, reflecting MetService New Zealand's latest forecast models showing an ensemble mean around 19-20°C under a stable high-pressure ridge. This tight clustering stems from minimal model spread in ECMWF and GFS runs over the past 48 hours, with light southerlies and partial cloud cover tempering peaks—18°C (24.5%) gains traction if thicker clouds persist, while 22°C or higher remains unlikely absent unexpected clear skies and northerlies. Historical late-March averages hover at 19.2°C, aligning with current neutral ENSO conditions; watch MetService's midday update for refined guidance as resolution nears.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Highest temperature in Wellington on March 29?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "19°C" at 35%, followed by "20°C" at 30%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 35¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 35% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Highest temperature in Wellington on March 29?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 25, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Highest temperature in Wellington on March 29?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Highest temperature in Wellington on March 29?" is "19°C" at 35%, meaning the market assigns a 35% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "20°C" at 30%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Highest temperature in Wellington on March 29?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.