Forecast ensembles from the Israel Meteorological Service, ECMWF, and GFS models show a tight spread around 23-24°C for Tel Aviv's highest temperature on March 28, reflecting trader consensus amid lingering uncertainty from a fading Mediterranean low-pressure system. Light southerly winds (5-16 km/h) promote modest diurnal heating under partly cloudy skies with medium UV levels until evening, but early afternoon cloud development and sea-breeze onset from cooler Mediterranean waters (around 22°C) could cap peaks at 23°C or push to 24-25°C if clearing persists longer. Recent overnight model runs refined this outlook after yesterday's cooling trend, with hourly IMS observations at Ben Gurion Airport determining resolution; watch 1-3 PM local time for peak insolation shifts. March climatology averages 20°C highs, underscoring the 2-4°C variability from synoptic timing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on March 28?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on March 28?
23°C 41%
24°C 30%
22°C 8%
25°C 7%
$18,960 Vol.
$18,960 Vol.
Mar 28, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
8%
23°C
41%
24°C
30%
25°C
7%
26°C
2%
27°C or higher
1%
23°C 41%
24°C 30%
22°C 8%
25°C 7%
$18,960 Vol.
$18,960 Vol.
Mar 28, 2026
17°C or below
$2,254 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$2,224 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$1,302 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$3,261 Vol.
1%
21°C
$1,591 Vol.
2%
22°C
$2,451 Vol.
8%
23°C
$1,412 Vol.
41%
24°C
$1,144 Vol.
30%
25°C
$1,450 Vol.
7%
26°C
$894 Vol.
2%
27°C or higher
$997 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast ensembles from the Israel Meteorological Service, ECMWF, and GFS models show a tight spread around 23-24°C for Tel Aviv's highest temperature on March 28, reflecting trader consensus amid lingering uncertainty from a fading Mediterranean low-pressure system. Light southerly winds (5-16 km/h) promote modest diurnal heating under partly cloudy skies with medium UV levels until evening, but early afternoon cloud development and sea-breeze onset from cooler Mediterranean waters (around 22°C) could cap peaks at 23°C or push to 24-25°C if clearing persists longer. Recent overnight model runs refined this outlook after yesterday's cooling trend, with hourly IMS observations at Ben Gurion Airport determining resolution; watch 1-3 PM local time for peak insolation shifts. March climatology averages 20°C highs, underscoring the 2-4°C variability from synoptic timing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Volume
$18,960End Date
Mar 28, 2026Market Opened
Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast ensembles from the Israel Meteorological Service, ECMWF, and GFS models show a tight spread around 23-24°C for Tel Aviv's highest temperature on March 28, reflecting trader consensus amid lingering uncertainty from a fading Mediterranean low-pressure system. Light southerly winds (5-16 km/h) promote modest diurnal heating under partly cloudy skies with medium UV levels until evening, but early afternoon cloud development and sea-breeze onset from cooler Mediterranean waters (around 22°C) could cap peaks at 23°C or push to 24-25°C if clearing persists longer. Recent overnight model runs refined this outlook after yesterday's cooling trend, with hourly IMS observations at Ben Gurion Airport determining resolution; watch 1-3 PM local time for peak insolation shifts. March climatology averages 20°C highs, underscoring the 2-4°C variability from synoptic timing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$18,960End Date
Mar 28, 2026Market Opened
Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast ensembles from the Israel Meteorological Service, ECMWF, and GFS models show a tight spread around 23-24°C for Tel Aviv's highest temperature on March 28, reflecting trader consensus amid lingering uncertainty from a fading Mediterranean low-pressure system. Light southerly winds (5-16 km/h) promote modest diurnal heating under partly cloudy skies with medium UV levels until evening, but early afternoon cloud development and sea-breeze onset from cooler Mediterranean waters (around 22°C) could cap peaks at 23°C or push to 24-25°C if clearing persists longer. Recent overnight model runs refined this outlook after yesterday's cooling trend, with hourly IMS observations at Ben Gurion Airport determining resolution; watch 1-3 PM local time for peak insolation shifts. March climatology averages 20°C highs, underscoring the 2-4°C variability from synoptic timing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions