Trader sentiment for Seoul's highest temperature on March 27 remains tightly clustered around 14–16°C, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models like ECMWF and GFS, which project daytime highs in this narrow band amid a high-pressure ridge ushering mild continental air. Differentiating factors include potential southerly winds boosting 16°C or higher odds via warmer advection, versus partial cloud cover or urban heat island moderation capping at 14–15°C, as seen in similar late-March setups. Historical data shows March 27 averages near 13°C, but this year's early spring warmup has narrowed model spread, with resolution hinging on final 00Z runs and observed station maxima at Gimpo or Incheon.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Seoul on March 27?
Highest temperature in Seoul on March 27?
15°C 23%
16°C or higher 22%
14°C 18%
13°C 14%
$13,163 Vol.
$13,163 Vol.
6°C or below
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
4%
10°C
4%
11°C
7%
12°C
12%
13°C
14%
14°C
18%
15°C
23%
16°C or higher
22%
15°C 23%
16°C or higher 22%
14°C 18%
13°C 14%
$13,163 Vol.
$13,163 Vol.
6°C or below
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
4%
10°C
4%
11°C
7%
12°C
12%
13°C
14%
14°C
18%
15°C
23%
16°C or higher
22%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 23, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Seoul's highest temperature on March 27 remains tightly clustered around 14–16°C, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models like ECMWF and GFS, which project daytime highs in this narrow band amid a high-pressure ridge ushering mild continental air. Differentiating factors include potential southerly winds boosting 16°C or higher odds via warmer advection, versus partial cloud cover or urban heat island moderation capping at 14–15°C, as seen in similar late-March setups. Historical data shows March 27 averages near 13°C, but this year's early spring warmup has narrowed model spread, with resolution hinging on final 00Z runs and observed station maxima at Gimpo or Incheon.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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