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Highest temperature in Los Angeles on March 28?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Los Angeles on March 28?

Mar 26

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 26

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

72-73°F 25%

70-71°F 24%

76-77°F 19%

74-75°F 18%

Polymarket

$29,047 Vol.

72-73°F 25%

70-71°F 24%

76-77°F 19%

74-75°F 18%

Polymarket

$29,047 Vol.

67°F or below

$1,517 Vol.

3%

68-69°F

$603 Vol.

7%

70-71°F

$695 Vol.

24%

72-73°F

$823 Vol.

25%

74-75°F

$866 Vol.

18%

76-77°F

$1,062 Vol.

16%

78-79°F

$2,829 Vol.

7%

80-81°F

$4,539 Vol.

6%

82-83°F

$2,057 Vol.

4%

84-85°F

$910 Vol.

1%

86°F or higher

$13,146 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Los Angeles' high temperature on March 28, with NWS guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensembles converging around 72°F under a strengthening high-pressure ridge bringing sunny skies and light westerly winds. The close contest between 70-71°F (23.5%) and 72-73°F (25.5%) stems from variable marine layer persistence along the coast, which could delay inland warming, alongside slight model spreads in afternoon peak heating. Historical late-March averages hover near 69°F, making this slightly above-normal outlook sensitive to overnight cloud cover and exact onshore flow strength. Watch NWS updates and 12z model runs for potential shifts before resolution based on official downtown LA observations.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$29,047
End Date
Mar 28, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 24, 2026, 6:16 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Los Angeles' high temperature on March 28, with NWS guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensembles converging around 72°F under a strengthening high-pressure ridge bringing sunny skies and light westerly winds. The close contest between 70-71°F (23.5%) and 72-73°F (25.5%) stems from variable marine layer persistence along the coast, which could delay inland warming, alongside slight model spreads in afternoon peak heating. Historical late-March averages hover near 69°F, making this slightly above-normal outlook sensitive to overnight cloud cover and exact onshore flow strength. Watch NWS updates and 12z model runs for potential shifts before resolution based on official downtown LA observations.

Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Los Angeles' high temperature on March 28, with NWS guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensembles converging around 72°F under a strengthening high-pressure ridge bringing sunny skies and light westerly winds. The close contest between 70-71°F (23.5%) and 72-73°F (25.5%) stems from variable marine layer persistence along the coast, which could delay inland warming, alongside slight model spreads in afternoon peak heating. Historical late-March averages hover near 69°F, making this slightly above-normal outlook sensitive to overnight cloud cover and exact onshore flow strength. Watch NWS updates and 12z model runs for potential shifts before resolution based on official downtown LA observations.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Highest temperature in Los Angeles on March 28?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "72-73°F" at 25%, followed by "70-71°F" at 24%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 25¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 25% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Highest temperature in Los Angeles on March 28?" has generated $29K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 24, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Highest temperature in Los Angeles on March 28?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Highest temperature in Los Angeles on March 28?" is "72-73°F" at 25%, meaning the market assigns a 25% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "70-71°F" at 24%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Highest temperature in Los Angeles on March 28?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.