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Highest temperature in Dallas on March 29?

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Highest temperature in Dallas on March 29?

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

82-83°F 34%

84-85°F 25%

80-81°F 21%

78-79°F 13%

Polymarket

$16,254 Vol.

82-83°F 34%

84-85°F 25%

80-81°F 21%

78-79°F 13%

Polymarket

$16,254 Vol.

73°F or below

$1,266 Vol.

<1%

74-75°F

$1,016 Vol.

1%

76-77°F

$1,142 Vol.

3%

78-79°F

$2,038 Vol.

13%

80-81°F

$1,429 Vol.

21%

82-83°F

$1,083 Vol.

34%

84-85°F

$1,123 Vol.

25%

86-87°F

$1,198 Vol.

5%

88-89°F

$1,724 Vol.

1%

90-91°F

$3,020 Vol.

<1%

92°F or higher

$1,215 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a Dallas high of 82-83°F at 35.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 84-85°F at 25%, reflecting tight spreads in the latest National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance from GFS and ECMWF ensembles. This positioning stems from a persistent upper-level ridge over Texas fostering subsidence and warm southerly low-level flow, sustaining an unusual late-March heat spell after recent highs neared 90°F amid fire weather concerns from low humidity. Observed temperatures on March 27 topped the mid-80s, with clear skies and light winds expected to allow daytime heating to near climatological outliers—well above the March average of 72°F—though minor model divergences introduce uncertainty around peak intensity. Traders await final NWS updates Saturday evening for refinements ahead of Sunday's resolution based on official observations at DFW Airport.

Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a Dallas high of 82-83°F at 35.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 84-85°F at 25%, reflecting tight spreads in the latest National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance from GFS and ECMWF ensembles. This positioning stems from a persistent upper-level ridge over Texas fostering subsidence and warm southerly low-level flow, sustaining an unusual late-March heat spell after recent highs neared 90°F amid fire weather concerns from low humidity. Observed temperatures on March 27 topped the mid-80s, with clear skies and light winds expected to allow daytime heating to near climatological outliers—well above the March average of 72°F—though minor model divergences introduce uncertainty around peak intensity. Traders await final NWS updates Saturday evening for refinements ahead of Sunday's resolution based on official observations at DFW Airport.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a Dallas high of 82-83°F at 35.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 84-85°F at 25%, reflecting tight spreads in the latest National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance from GFS and ECMWF ensembles. This positioning stems from a persistent upper-level ridge over Texas fostering subsidence and warm southerly low-level flow, sustaining an unusual late-March heat spell after recent highs neared 90°F amid fire weather concerns from low humidity. Observed temperatures on March 27 topped the mid-80s, with clear skies and light winds expected to allow daytime heating to near climatological outliers—well above the March average of 72°F—though minor model divergences introduce uncertainty around peak intensity. Traders await final NWS updates Saturday evening for refinements ahead of Sunday's resolution based on official observations at DFW Airport.

Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a Dallas high of 82-83°F at 35.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 84-85°F at 25%, reflecting tight spreads in the latest National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance from GFS and ECMWF ensembles. This positioning stems from a persistent upper-level ridge over Texas fostering subsidence and warm southerly low-level flow, sustaining an unusual late-March heat spell after recent highs neared 90°F amid fire weather concerns from low humidity. Observed temperatures on March 27 topped the mid-80s, with clear skies and light winds expected to allow daytime heating to near climatological outliers—well above the March average of 72°F—though minor model divergences introduce uncertainty around peak intensity. Traders await final NWS updates Saturday evening for refinements ahead of Sunday's resolution based on official observations at DFW Airport.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Highest temperature in Dallas on March 29?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "82-83°F" at 34%, followed by "84-85°F" at 25%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 34¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 34% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Highest temperature in Dallas on March 29?" has generated $16.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 25, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Highest temperature in Dallas on March 29?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Highest temperature in Dallas on March 29?" is "82-83°F" at 34%, meaning the market assigns a 34% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "84-85°F" at 25%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Highest temperature in Dallas on March 29?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.