Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Chongqing's March 29 high temperature, with the China Meteorological Administration projecting 20–21°C amid persistent cloudy skies and light showers that suppress solar insolation and limit daytime heating. Following a confirmed 17°C peak on March 27 and an expected 19°C on March 28, recent yin rain patterns from a lingering frontal system have kept temperatures below seasonal norms of 18–20°C for late March in the humid basin. Model spreads (GFS, ECMWF) show 18–22°C variability due to potential cloud breaks and urban heat effects, differentiating the closely matched 19°C (30%), 20°C (24%), and 21°C (18%) outcomes; official station data will resolve post-midnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chongqing on March 29?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on March 29?
19°C 32%
20°C 29%
21°C 18%
18°C 15%
$14,392 Vol.
$14,392 Vol.
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
3%
17°C
4%
18°C
15%
19°C
32%
20°C
29%
21°C
18%
22°C
6%
23°C
3%
24°C or higher
<1%
19°C 32%
20°C 29%
21°C 18%
18°C 15%
$14,392 Vol.
$14,392 Vol.
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
3%
17°C
4%
18°C
15%
19°C
32%
20°C
29%
21°C
18%
22°C
6%
23°C
3%
24°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 25, 2026, 6:42 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Chongqing's March 29 high temperature, with the China Meteorological Administration projecting 20–21°C amid persistent cloudy skies and light showers that suppress solar insolation and limit daytime heating. Following a confirmed 17°C peak on March 27 and an expected 19°C on March 28, recent yin rain patterns from a lingering frontal system have kept temperatures below seasonal norms of 18–20°C for late March in the humid basin. Model spreads (GFS, ECMWF) show 18–22°C variability due to potential cloud breaks and urban heat effects, differentiating the closely matched 19°C (30%), 20°C (24%), and 21°C (18%) outcomes; official station data will resolve post-midnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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