Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 39% probability for Elon Musk posting 65-89 times on X from March 28-30, 2026, reflecting a recent slowdown in his posting frequency after a high-volume prior week. XTracker data shows March 20-27 resolved at 269 posts (averaging ~38 daily), but the March 26-28 period tallied just 50 posts over two days elapsed (25 daily average as of March 27 evening), signaling moderated activity amid weekend timing and no major catalysts like product launches. The closely contested field, with 90-114 at 25.5% and 40-64 at 21%, underscores uncertainty from fluctuating engagement patterns, with daily tallies tracked in real-time potentially shifting odds before March 30 resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated65-89 39%
90-114 25%
40-64 23%
115-139 10%
NEW
$103,335 Vol.
NEW
$103,335 Vol.
Mar 30, 2026
<40
2%
40-64
23%
65-89
39%
90-114
25%
115-139
10%
140-164
3%
165-189
1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
65-89 39%
90-114 25%
40-64 23%
115-139 10%
NEW
$103,335 Vol.
NEW
$103,335 Vol.
Mar 30, 2026
<40
$12,824 Vol.
2%
40-64
$8,777 Vol.
23%
65-89
$5,346 Vol.
39%
90-114
$4,200 Vol.
25%
115-139
$2,623 Vol.
10%
140-164
$6,125 Vol.
3%
165-189
$6,139 Vol.
1%
190-214
$12,220 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$21,765 Vol.
<1%
240+
$23,465 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 28 12:00 PM ET to March 30, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 39% probability for Elon Musk posting 65-89 times on X from March 28-30, 2026, reflecting a recent slowdown in his posting frequency after a high-volume prior week. XTracker data shows March 20-27 resolved at 269 posts (averaging ~38 daily), but the March 26-28 period tallied just 50 posts over two days elapsed (25 daily average as of March 27 evening), signaling moderated activity amid weekend timing and no major catalysts like product launches. The closely contested field, with 90-114 at 25.5% and 40-64 at 21%, underscores uncertainty from fluctuating engagement patterns, with daily tallies tracked in real-time potentially shifting odds before March 30 resolution.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 28 12:00 PM ET to March 30, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Mar 26, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Volume
$103,335End Date
Mar 30, 2026Market Opened
Mar 26, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 28 12:00 PM ET to March 30, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 39% probability for Elon Musk posting 65-89 times on X from March 28-30, 2026, reflecting a recent slowdown in his posting frequency after a high-volume prior week. XTracker data shows March 20-27 resolved at 269 posts (averaging ~38 daily), but the March 26-28 period tallied just 50 posts over two days elapsed (25 daily average as of March 27 evening), signaling moderated activity amid weekend timing and no major catalysts like product launches. The closely contested field, with 90-114 at 25.5% and 40-64 at 21%, underscores uncertainty from fluctuating engagement patterns, with daily tallies tracked in real-time potentially shifting odds before March 30 resolution.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 28 12:00 PM ET to March 30, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$103,335End Date
Mar 30, 2026Market Opened
Mar 26, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 39% probability for Elon Musk posting 65-89 times on X from March 28-30, 2026, reflecting a recent slowdown in his posting frequency after a high-volume prior week. XTracker data shows March 20-27 resolved at 269 posts (averaging ~38 daily), but the March 26-28 period tallied just 50 posts over two days elapsed (25 daily average as of March 27 evening), signaling moderated activity amid weekend timing and no major catalysts like product launches. The closely contested field, with 90-114 at 25.5% and 40-64 at 21%, underscores uncertainty from fluctuating engagement patterns, with daily tallies tracked in real-time potentially shifting odds before March 30 resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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