Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 380-459 Elon Musk posts from March 17-24, 2026, reflecting his recent average of 40-60 daily X updates, including originals and replies, based on post-election surges exceeding 100 some days amid political engagement. This range implies steady high-volume activity sustained by his ownership of X and roles at Tesla, SpaceX, xAI, and the Department of Government Efficiency. The race stays close due to historical variability tied to news cycles, product launches, and global events, with no firm 2026 schedule yet announced. Separation could emerge from DOGE milestones, regulatory rulings, or shifts in his public posting habits, as traders weigh these against past weekly tallies near 400.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedElon Musk # tweets March 17 - March 24, 2026?
Elon Musk # tweets March 17 - March 24, 2026?
380-399 24.7%
400-419 21.4%
420-439 14.6%
360-379 13%
$7,335,592 Vol.
$7,335,592 Vol.
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
5%
360-379
13%
380-399
25%
400-419
21%
420-439
15%
440-459
10%
460-479
6%
480-499
2%
500-519
1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
380-399 24.7%
400-419 21.4%
420-439 14.6%
360-379 13%
$7,335,592 Vol.
$7,335,592 Vol.
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
5%
360-379
13%
380-399
25%
400-419
21%
420-439
15%
440-459
10%
460-479
6%
480-499
2%
500-519
1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Mar 9, 2026, 4:48 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 380-459 Elon Musk posts from March 17-24, 2026, reflecting his recent average of 40-60 daily X updates, including originals and replies, based on post-election surges exceeding 100 some days amid political engagement. This range implies steady high-volume activity sustained by his ownership of X and roles at Tesla, SpaceX, xAI, and the Department of Government Efficiency. The race stays close due to historical variability tied to news cycles, product launches, and global events, with no firm 2026 schedule yet announced. Separation could emerge from DOGE milestones, regulatory rulings, or shifts in his public posting habits, as traders weigh these against past weekly tallies near 400.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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