Incumbent Republican Brandon Gill's commanding 91% win in the March 3 Republican primary against Robert Chick has solidified trader consensus at 89% for a GOP hold in Texas' 26th Congressional District, a Solid Republican seat per Cook Political Report with an R+11 PVI where Donald Trump carried by 24 points in 2024. Gill, who won the 2024 general by 27 points over Democrat Ernest Lineberger III, vastly outfundraises Democratic nominee Steven Shook, who narrowly prevailed 51%-49% in his primary amid minimal campaign resources under $13,000. No recent polling or developments since primaries alter the fundamentals favoring the incumbent ahead of the November 3 general election, though national midterm trends could pose minor risks.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
89%
Democratic Party
10%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$3,522 거래량
89%
Democratic Party
$3,368 거래량
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brandon Gill's commanding 91% win in the March 3 Republican primary against Robert Chick has solidified trader consensus at 89% for a GOP hold in Texas' 26th Congressional District, a Solid Republican seat per Cook Political Report with an R+11 PVI where Donald Trump carried by 24 points in 2024. Gill, who won the 2024 general by 27 points over Democrat Ernest Lineberger III, vastly outfundraises Democratic nominee Steven Shook, who narrowly prevailed 51%-49% in his primary amid minimal campaign resources under $13,000. No recent polling or developments since primaries alter the fundamentals favoring the incumbent ahead of the November 3 general election, though national midterm trends could pose minor risks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
거래량
$6,891종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brandon Gill's commanding 91% win in the March 3 Republican primary against Robert Chick has solidified trader consensus at 89% for a GOP hold in Texas' 26th Congressional District, a Solid Republican seat per Cook Political Report with an R+11 PVI where Donald Trump carried by 24 points in 2024. Gill, who won the 2024 general by 27 points over Democrat Ernest Lineberger III, vastly outfundraises Democratic nominee Steven Shook, who narrowly prevailed 51%-49% in his primary amid minimal campaign resources under $13,000. No recent polling or developments since primaries alter the fundamentals favoring the incumbent ahead of the November 3 general election, though national midterm trends could pose minor risks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$6,891종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Brandon Gill's commanding 91% win in the March 3 Republican primary against Robert Chick has solidified trader consensus at 89% for a GOP hold in Texas' 26th Congressional District, a Solid Republican seat per Cook Political Report with an R+11 PVI where Donald Trump carried by 24 points in 2024. Gill, who won the 2024 general by 27 points over Democrat Ernest Lineberger III, vastly outfundraises Democratic nominee Steven Shook, who narrowly prevailed 51%-49% in his primary amid minimal campaign resources under $13,000. No recent polling or developments since primaries alter the fundamentals favoring the incumbent ahead of the November 3 general election, though national midterm trends could pose minor risks.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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