Incumbent Democrat Jared Huffman dominates trader sentiment in the CA-02 House race with commanding fundraising—over $1 million cash on hand as of late March—bolstered by the district's Solid Democratic Cook rating and D+13 partisan voting index, where Kamala Harris won by 25 points in 2024. Huffman's past general election margins exceed 70%, reflecting strong Democratic voter registration and coastal North Coast base despite redistricting additions of inland GOP-leaning counties like Shasta. Multiple Republican primary challengers—Tim Geist, Robin Littau, Paul Saulsbury, and Angelita Valles—split the vote ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, paving a likely favorable November 3 general matchup. Odds reflect this structural edge, though a scandal, health issue, or national Republican wave could narrow the path.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
92%
Republican Party
9%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$0 거래량
92%
Republican Party
$416 거래량
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jared Huffman dominates trader sentiment in the CA-02 House race with commanding fundraising—over $1 million cash on hand as of late March—bolstered by the district's Solid Democratic Cook rating and D+13 partisan voting index, where Kamala Harris won by 25 points in 2024. Huffman's past general election margins exceed 70%, reflecting strong Democratic voter registration and coastal North Coast base despite redistricting additions of inland GOP-leaning counties like Shasta. Multiple Republican primary challengers—Tim Geist, Robin Littau, Paul Saulsbury, and Angelita Valles—split the vote ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, paving a likely favorable November 3 general matchup. Odds reflect this structural edge, though a scandal, health issue, or national Republican wave could narrow the path.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
거래량
$416종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jared Huffman dominates trader sentiment in the CA-02 House race with commanding fundraising—over $1 million cash on hand as of late March—bolstered by the district's Solid Democratic Cook rating and D+13 partisan voting index, where Kamala Harris won by 25 points in 2024. Huffman's past general election margins exceed 70%, reflecting strong Democratic voter registration and coastal North Coast base despite redistricting additions of inland GOP-leaning counties like Shasta. Multiple Republican primary challengers—Tim Geist, Robin Littau, Paul Saulsbury, and Angelita Valles—split the vote ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, paving a likely favorable November 3 general matchup. Odds reflect this structural edge, though a scandal, health issue, or national Republican wave could narrow the path.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$416종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Jared Huffman dominates trader sentiment in the CA-02 House race with commanding fundraising—over $1 million cash on hand as of late March—bolstered by the district's Solid Democratic Cook rating and D+13 partisan voting index, where Kamala Harris won by 25 points in 2024. Huffman's past general election margins exceed 70%, reflecting strong Democratic voter registration and coastal North Coast base despite redistricting additions of inland GOP-leaning counties like Shasta. Multiple Republican primary challengers—Tim Geist, Robin Littau, Paul Saulsbury, and Angelita Valles—split the vote ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, paving a likely favorable November 3 general matchup. Odds reflect this structural edge, though a scandal, health issue, or national Republican wave could narrow the path.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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