Incumbent Democrat Ro Khanna's commanding position in California's safely Democratic 17th Congressional District drives trader consensus to a 95% implied probability of a Democratic Party victory in the November 2026 general election, reflecting the district's heavy Democratic voter registration edge and Khanna's strong fundraising, California Democratic Party endorsement, and past landslide margins exceeding 65%. With the June 2 top-two primary approaching, a crowded field of lesser-known Democratic challengers like Ethan Agarwal poses minimal threat to Khanna advancing alongside any Republican, while the GOP lacks competitive candidates or resources after Anita Chen's 2024 rout. Scenarios challenging this include a primary upset yielding a weakened Democratic nominee vulnerable to national Republican midterm gains, or unforeseen Khanna scandal or withdrawal.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
3%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$5,950 거래량
95%
Republican Party
$0 거래량
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Ro Khanna's commanding position in California's safely Democratic 17th Congressional District drives trader consensus to a 95% implied probability of a Democratic Party victory in the November 2026 general election, reflecting the district's heavy Democratic voter registration edge and Khanna's strong fundraising, California Democratic Party endorsement, and past landslide margins exceeding 65%. With the June 2 top-two primary approaching, a crowded field of lesser-known Democratic challengers like Ethan Agarwal poses minimal threat to Khanna advancing alongside any Republican, while the GOP lacks competitive candidates or resources after Anita Chen's 2024 rout. Scenarios challenging this include a primary upset yielding a weakened Democratic nominee vulnerable to national Republican midterm gains, or unforeseen Khanna scandal or withdrawal.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 6, 2026, 10:16 AM ET
거래량
$5,950종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 6, 2026, 10:16 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Ro Khanna's commanding position in California's safely Democratic 17th Congressional District drives trader consensus to a 95% implied probability of a Democratic Party victory in the November 2026 general election, reflecting the district's heavy Democratic voter registration edge and Khanna's strong fundraising, California Democratic Party endorsement, and past landslide margins exceeding 65%. With the June 2 top-two primary approaching, a crowded field of lesser-known Democratic challengers like Ethan Agarwal poses minimal threat to Khanna advancing alongside any Republican, while the GOP lacks competitive candidates or resources after Anita Chen's 2024 rout. Scenarios challenging this include a primary upset yielding a weakened Democratic nominee vulnerable to national Republican midterm gains, or unforeseen Khanna scandal or withdrawal.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$5,950종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 6, 2026, 10:16 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Ro Khanna's commanding position in California's safely Democratic 17th Congressional District drives trader consensus to a 95% implied probability of a Democratic Party victory in the November 2026 general election, reflecting the district's heavy Democratic voter registration edge and Khanna's strong fundraising, California Democratic Party endorsement, and past landslide margins exceeding 65%. With the June 2 top-two primary approaching, a crowded field of lesser-known Democratic challengers like Ethan Agarwal poses minimal threat to Khanna advancing alongside any Republican, while the GOP lacks competitive candidates or resources after Anita Chen's 2024 rout. Scenarios challenging this include a primary upset yielding a weakened Democratic nominee vulnerable to national Republican midterm gains, or unforeseen Khanna scandal or withdrawal.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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