The Montana 2nd Congressional District’s strong Republican lean and incumbent Troy Downing’s unopposed primary victory on June 2 drive the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Eastern Montana’s voter base, reflected in Downing’s 32-point 2024 margin and consistent Solid Republican or Safe Republican ratings from major forecasters, underpins this positioning ahead of the November 3 general election. Democratic nominee Brian Miller faces structural headwinds in fundraising and district partisanship. Late developments such as national political shifts, candidate-specific controversies, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though historical patterns indicate limited realistic pathways for an upset.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$11,400 거래량
$11,400 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
92%
Democratic Party
7%
$11,400 거래량
$11,400 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$8,247 거래량
92%
Democratic Party
$3,153 거래량
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Montana 2nd Congressional District’s strong Republican lean and incumbent Troy Downing’s unopposed primary victory on June 2 drive the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Eastern Montana’s voter base, reflected in Downing’s 32-point 2024 margin and consistent Solid Republican or Safe Republican ratings from major forecasters, underpins this positioning ahead of the November 3 general election. Democratic nominee Brian Miller faces structural headwinds in fundraising and district partisanship. Late developments such as national political shifts, candidate-specific controversies, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though historical patterns indicate limited realistic pathways for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
거래량
$11,400종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Montana 2nd Congressional District’s strong Republican lean and incumbent Troy Downing’s unopposed primary victory on June 2 drive the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Eastern Montana’s voter base, reflected in Downing’s 32-point 2024 margin and consistent Solid Republican or Safe Republican ratings from major forecasters, underpins this positioning ahead of the November 3 general election. Democratic nominee Brian Miller faces structural headwinds in fundraising and district partisanship. Late developments such as national political shifts, candidate-specific controversies, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though historical patterns indicate limited realistic pathways for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$11,400종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Montana 2nd Congressional District’s strong Republican lean and incumbent Troy Downing’s unopposed primary victory on June 2 drive the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Eastern Montana’s voter base, reflected in Downing’s 32-point 2024 margin and consistent Solid Republican or Safe Republican ratings from major forecasters, underpins this positioning ahead of the November 3 general election. Democratic nominee Brian Miller faces structural headwinds in fundraising and district partisanship. Late developments such as national political shifts, candidate-specific controversies, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though historical patterns indicate limited realistic pathways for an upset.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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