Republican incumbent Troy Downing faces no primary opposition and enters the November general election in a district rated solidly Republican by multiple forecasters, with a Partisan Voter Index of R+15 and a 2024 margin exceeding 30 points. Democratic nominee Brian Miller secured his party's nod in the June 2 primary but trails significantly in fundraising and lacks the resources or name recognition seen in more competitive races. Trader consensus at 91.5% Republican reflects the district's consistent partisan tilt and limited path for the challenger. A national Democratic surge, major candidate scandal, or unusually high turnout among unaffiliated voters could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain unlikely absent dramatic developments before Election Day.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$11,400 거래량
$11,400 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
92%
Democratic Party
7%
$11,400 거래량
$11,400 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$8,247 거래량
92%
Democratic Party
$3,153 거래량
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Troy Downing faces no primary opposition and enters the November general election in a district rated solidly Republican by multiple forecasters, with a Partisan Voter Index of R+15 and a 2024 margin exceeding 30 points. Democratic nominee Brian Miller secured his party's nod in the June 2 primary but trails significantly in fundraising and lacks the resources or name recognition seen in more competitive races. Trader consensus at 91.5% Republican reflects the district's consistent partisan tilt and limited path for the challenger. A national Democratic surge, major candidate scandal, or unusually high turnout among unaffiliated voters could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain unlikely absent dramatic developments before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
거래량
$11,400종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Troy Downing faces no primary opposition and enters the November general election in a district rated solidly Republican by multiple forecasters, with a Partisan Voter Index of R+15 and a 2024 margin exceeding 30 points. Democratic nominee Brian Miller secured his party's nod in the June 2 primary but trails significantly in fundraising and lacks the resources or name recognition seen in more competitive races. Trader consensus at 91.5% Republican reflects the district's consistent partisan tilt and limited path for the challenger. A national Democratic surge, major candidate scandal, or unusually high turnout among unaffiliated voters could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain unlikely absent dramatic developments before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$11,400종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Troy Downing faces no primary opposition and enters the November general election in a district rated solidly Republican by multiple forecasters, with a Partisan Voter Index of R+15 and a 2024 margin exceeding 30 points. Democratic nominee Brian Miller secured his party's nod in the June 2 primary but trails significantly in fundraising and lacks the resources or name recognition seen in more competitive races. Trader consensus at 91.5% Republican reflects the district's consistent partisan tilt and limited path for the challenger. A national Democratic surge, major candidate scandal, or unusually high turnout among unaffiliated voters could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain unlikely absent dramatic developments before Election Day.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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