Market icon

연준 결정 (3월 ~ 6월)

동결–동결–인하 37%

동결–동결–동결 23%

일시 중단–인하–일시 중단 11%

인하–동결–동결 9.8%

Polymarket
NEW

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.

This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: March 17-18, 2026; April 28-29; and June 16-17.

A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.

A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.

A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.

If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".

Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.

The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm

The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
볼륨
$9,121
종료일
Jun 17, 2026
생성일
Jan 29, 2026, 5:18 PM ET
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: March 17-18, 2026; April 28-29; and June 16-17. A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other". Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm

외부 링크를 조심하십시오.

Market icon

연준 결정 (3월 ~ 6월)

동결–동결–인하 37%

동결–동결–동결 23%

일시 중단–인하–일시 중단 11%

인하–동결–동결 9.8%

Polymarket
NEW

동결–동결–인하

$2,931 Vol.

37%

동결–동결–동결

$1,203 Vol.

23%

일시 중단–인하–일시 중단

$967 Vol.

11%

인하–동결–동결

$673 Vol.

10%

인하–동결–재인하

$1,068 Vol.

6%

동결–인하–인하

$840 Vol.

5%

기타

$372 Vol.

5%

인하–인하–인하

$561 Vol.

4%

인하–인하–동결

$507 Vol.

2%

외부 링크를 조심하십시오.