Redistricting through Proposition 50 shifted California's 48th district toward a modest Democratic registration edge and better performance in recent statewide races, positioning the open seat as a lean-Democratic contest following incumbent Darrell Issa's retirement. The June 2 primary advanced Republican Jim Desmond, a county supervisor backed by party leaders, against Democrat Marni von Wilpert, a San Diego councilmember who led the Democratic field. Trader pricing reflects the district's altered voter composition and historical patterns favoring Democrats in similar suburban and exurban areas, though the general election remains months away with potential for shifts based on turnout, campaign spending, and national conditions.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$12,579 거래량
$12,579 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
86%
Republican Party
14%
$12,579 거래량
$12,579 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$6,351 거래량
86%
Republican Party
$6,228 거래량
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-48 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting through Proposition 50 shifted California's 48th district toward a modest Democratic registration edge and better performance in recent statewide races, positioning the open seat as a lean-Democratic contest following incumbent Darrell Issa's retirement. The June 2 primary advanced Republican Jim Desmond, a county supervisor backed by party leaders, against Democrat Marni von Wilpert, a San Diego councilmember who led the Democratic field. Trader pricing reflects the district's altered voter composition and historical patterns favoring Democrats in similar suburban and exurban areas, though the general election remains months away with potential for shifts based on turnout, campaign spending, and national conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-48 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
거래량
$12,579종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-48 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting through Proposition 50 shifted California's 48th district toward a modest Democratic registration edge and better performance in recent statewide races, positioning the open seat as a lean-Democratic contest following incumbent Darrell Issa's retirement. The June 2 primary advanced Republican Jim Desmond, a county supervisor backed by party leaders, against Democrat Marni von Wilpert, a San Diego councilmember who led the Democratic field. Trader pricing reflects the district's altered voter composition and historical patterns favoring Democrats in similar suburban and exurban areas, though the general election remains months away with potential for shifts based on turnout, campaign spending, and national conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-48 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$12,579종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting through Proposition 50 shifted California's 48th district toward a modest Democratic registration edge and better performance in recent statewide races, positioning the open seat as a lean-Democratic contest following incumbent Darrell Issa's retirement. The June 2 primary advanced Republican Jim Desmond, a county supervisor backed by party leaders, against Democrat Marni von Wilpert, a San Diego councilmember who led the Democratic field. Trader pricing reflects the district's altered voter composition and historical patterns favoring Democrats in similar suburban and exurban areas, though the general election remains months away with potential for shifts based on turnout, campaign spending, and national conditions.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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