Incumbent Democrat Jimmy Panetta's entrenched position in California's 19th Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic with a Cook PVI of D+18, drives trader consensus to 94.5% for the Democratic Party in the November 3 general election. Panetta's recent FEC filings show $4.9 million cash-on-hand as of late March, dwarfing Republican challengers Tuka Gafari and Peter Verbica (under $20,000 combined) and Democratic primary rival Sean Dougherty. Historical margins exceed 38 points in recent generals, bolstered by Kamala Harris's 65% district showing in 2024. The June 2 top-two primary likely advances Panetta against a weak GOP foe. Realistic challenges include a primary upset, personal scandal, or national Republican wave, though structural barriers remain high.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$20,218 거래량
$20,218 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
95%
공화당
6%
$20,218 거래량
$20,218 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$13,174 거래량
95%
공화당
$7,044 거래량
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jimmy Panetta's entrenched position in California's 19th Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic with a Cook PVI of D+18, drives trader consensus to 94.5% for the Democratic Party in the November 3 general election. Panetta's recent FEC filings show $4.9 million cash-on-hand as of late March, dwarfing Republican challengers Tuka Gafari and Peter Verbica (under $20,000 combined) and Democratic primary rival Sean Dougherty. Historical margins exceed 38 points in recent generals, bolstered by Kamala Harris's 65% district showing in 2024. The June 2 top-two primary likely advances Panetta against a weak GOP foe. Realistic challenges include a primary upset, personal scandal, or national Republican wave, though structural barriers remain high.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
거래량
$20,218종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jimmy Panetta's entrenched position in California's 19th Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic with a Cook PVI of D+18, drives trader consensus to 94.5% for the Democratic Party in the November 3 general election. Panetta's recent FEC filings show $4.9 million cash-on-hand as of late March, dwarfing Republican challengers Tuka Gafari and Peter Verbica (under $20,000 combined) and Democratic primary rival Sean Dougherty. Historical margins exceed 38 points in recent generals, bolstered by Kamala Harris's 65% district showing in 2024. The June 2 top-two primary likely advances Panetta against a weak GOP foe. Realistic challenges include a primary upset, personal scandal, or national Republican wave, though structural barriers remain high.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$20,218종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Jimmy Panetta's entrenched position in California's 19th Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic with a Cook PVI of D+18, drives trader consensus to 94.5% for the Democratic Party in the November 3 general election. Panetta's recent FEC filings show $4.9 million cash-on-hand as of late March, dwarfing Republican challengers Tuka Gafari and Peter Verbica (under $20,000 combined) and Democratic primary rival Sean Dougherty. Historical margins exceed 38 points in recent generals, bolstered by Kamala Harris's 65% district showing in 2024. The June 2 top-two primary likely advances Panetta against a weak GOP foe. Realistic challenges include a primary upset, personal scandal, or national Republican wave, though structural barriers remain high.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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