Venezuela's disputed July 2024 presidential election, where Nicolás Maduro claimed victory amid widespread fraud allegations and U.S. non-recognition of his mandate, underscores deep bilateral tensions rather than any path to statehood. Traders' 96.7% consensus on "No" reflects insurmountable legal hurdles under the U.S. Constitution requiring congressional approval and Venezuelan consent, alongside zero diplomatic momentum for annexation—primary sources show no official proposals from Washington or Caracas. Sovereign resistance, international law norms, and historical precedents like Puerto Rico's stalled status debates reinforce this pricing as trader wisdom. Only an extreme regime collapse followed by improbable U.S. intervention could shift odds, though no such catalysts loom.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日はい
$96,649 Vol.
$96,649 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
はい
$96,649 Vol.
$96,649 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" any portion of Venezuela is formally annexed into the United States of America and becomes the 51st state between January 3, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" any portion of Venezuela is formally annexed into the United States of America and becomes the 51st state between January 3, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" any portion of Venezuela is formally annexed into the United States of America and becomes the 51st state between January 3, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jan 3, 2026, 7:18 PM ET
音量
$96,649終了日
Dec 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Jan 3, 2026, 7:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" any portion of Venezuela is formally annexed into the United States of America and becomes the 51st state between January 3, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" any portion of Venezuela is formally annexed into the United States of America and becomes the 51st state between January 3, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" any portion of Venezuela is formally annexed into the United States of America and becomes the 51st state between January 3, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$96,649終了日
Dec 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Jan 3, 2026, 7:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Venezuela's disputed July 2024 presidential election, where Nicolás Maduro claimed victory amid widespread fraud allegations and U.S. non-recognition of his mandate, underscores deep bilateral tensions rather than any path to statehood. Traders' 96.7% consensus on "No" reflects insurmountable legal hurdles under the U.S. Constitution requiring congressional approval and Venezuelan consent, alongside zero diplomatic momentum for annexation—primary sources show no official proposals from Washington or Caracas. Sovereign resistance, international law norms, and historical precedents like Puerto Rico's stalled status debates reinforce this pricing as trader wisdom. Only an extreme regime collapse followed by improbable U.S. intervention could shift odds, though no such catalysts loom.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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