Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "No" at 84% for US annexation of any territory in 2026, driven by the complete absence of official proposals, legislative action, or military signals from the incoming Trump administration or Congress. President-elect Trump's late-November Truth Social post floating Canada as a potential 51st state—tied to tariff threats—was swiftly rejected by Canadian Prime Minister Trudeau as unserious bluster, with no follow-up diplomatic or executive moves. Post-World War II US foreign policy prioritizes alliances, sanctions, and trade negotiations over territorial expansion, constrained by international law, UN Charter prohibitions, and Senate treaty ratification requirements. Absent extraordinary escalation in ongoing disputes like those with Mexico or China, traders see negligible path for annexation before year-end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日はい
$18,372 Vol.
$18,372 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
はい
$18,372 Vol.
$18,372 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "No" at 84% for US annexation of any territory in 2026, driven by the complete absence of official proposals, legislative action, or military signals from the incoming Trump administration or Congress. President-elect Trump's late-November Truth Social post floating Canada as a potential 51st state—tied to tariff threats—was swiftly rejected by Canadian Prime Minister Trudeau as unserious bluster, with no follow-up diplomatic or executive moves. Post-World War II US foreign policy prioritizes alliances, sanctions, and trade negotiations over territorial expansion, constrained by international law, UN Charter prohibitions, and Senate treaty ratification requirements. Absent extraordinary escalation in ongoing disputes like those with Mexico or China, traders see negligible path for annexation before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jan 6, 2026, 1:41 PM ET
音量
$18,372終了日
Dec 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Jan 6, 2026, 1:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "No" at 84% for US annexation of any territory in 2026, driven by the complete absence of official proposals, legislative action, or military signals from the incoming Trump administration or Congress. President-elect Trump's late-November Truth Social post floating Canada as a potential 51st state—tied to tariff threats—was swiftly rejected by Canadian Prime Minister Trudeau as unserious bluster, with no follow-up diplomatic or executive moves. Post-World War II US foreign policy prioritizes alliances, sanctions, and trade negotiations over territorial expansion, constrained by international law, UN Charter prohibitions, and Senate treaty ratification requirements. Absent extraordinary escalation in ongoing disputes like those with Mexico or China, traders see negligible path for annexation before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$18,372終了日
Dec 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Jan 6, 2026, 1:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "No" at 84% for US annexation of any territory in 2026, driven by the complete absence of official proposals, legislative action, or military signals from the incoming Trump administration or Congress. President-elect Trump's late-November Truth Social post floating Canada as a potential 51st state—tied to tariff threats—was swiftly rejected by Canadian Prime Minister Trudeau as unserious bluster, with no follow-up diplomatic or executive moves. Post-World War II US foreign policy prioritizes alliances, sanctions, and trade negotiations over territorial expansion, constrained by international law, UN Charter prohibitions, and Senate treaty ratification requirements. Absent extraordinary escalation in ongoing disputes like those with Mexico or China, traders see negligible path for annexation before year-end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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