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マリア・コリーナ・マチャドがベネズエラに入国するのは... ?

Market icon

マリア・コリーナ・マチャドがベネズエラに入国するのは... ?

$5,081,763 Vol.

Jan 31, 2026
Polymarket

$5,081,763 Vol.

Polymarket
Market icon

3月31日

$1,931,187 Vol.

1%

Market icon

4月30日

$317,335 Vol.

19%

If María Corina Machado visits Venezuela between market creation and March 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as María Corina Machado physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not María Corina Machado enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.If María Corina Machado visits Venezuela between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as María Corina Machado physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not María Corina Machado enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.If María Corina Machado visits Venezuela between market creation and January 9, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as María Corina Machado physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not María Corina Machado enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.If María Corina Machado visits Venezuela between market creation and January 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as María Corina Machado physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not María Corina Machado enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.If María Corina Machado visits Venezuela between market creation and March 8, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as María Corina Machado physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not María Corina Machado enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Venezuelan opposition leader and 2025 Nobel Peace Prize laureate María Corina Machado, exiled since her dramatic January boat escape amid the U.S. intervention that ousted Nicolás Maduro, announced on March 1 her intent to return in coming weeks to advance a democratic transition and new elections. As of late March, she remains abroad—most recently speaking at Houston's CERAWeek on March 24 to pitch oil investment reforms—amid warnings from regime figures like Diosdado Cabello of potential risks upon reentry. The interim government's stability, intact repressive apparatus per recent UN reports, and unspecified election timeline heighten uncertainty, shaping trader assessments of her near-term entry amid fragile post-chavista negotiations.

Venezuelan opposition leader and 2025 Nobel Peace Prize laureate María Corina Machado, exiled since her dramatic January boat escape amid the U.S. intervention that ousted Nicolás Maduro, announced on March 1 her intent to return in coming weeks to advance a democratic transition and new elections. As of late March, she remains abroad—most recently speaking at Houston's CERAWeek on March 24 to pitch oil investment reforms—amid warnings from regime figures like Diosdado Cabello of potential risks upon reentry. The interim government's stability, intact repressive apparatus per recent UN reports, and unspecified election timeline heighten uncertainty, shaping trader assessments of her near-term entry amid fragile post-chavista negotiations.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
If María Corina Machado visits Venezuela between market creation and March 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as María Corina Machado physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not María Corina Machado enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.If María Corina Machado visits Venezuela between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as María Corina Machado physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not María Corina Machado enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.If María Corina Machado visits Venezuela between market creation and January 9, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as María Corina Machado physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not María Corina Machado enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.If María Corina Machado visits Venezuela between market creation and January 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as María Corina Machado physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not María Corina Machado enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.If María Corina Machado visits Venezuela between market creation and March 8, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as María Corina Machado physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not María Corina Machado enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Venezuelan opposition leader and 2025 Nobel Peace Prize laureate María Corina Machado, exiled since her dramatic January boat escape amid the U.S. intervention that ousted Nicolás Maduro, announced on March 1 her intent to return in coming weeks to advance a democratic transition and new elections. As of late March, she remains abroad—most recently speaking at Houston's CERAWeek on March 24 to pitch oil investment reforms—amid warnings from regime figures like Diosdado Cabello of potential risks upon reentry. The interim government's stability, intact repressive apparatus per recent UN reports, and unspecified election timeline heighten uncertainty, shaping trader assessments of her near-term entry amid fragile post-chavista negotiations.

Venezuelan opposition leader and 2025 Nobel Peace Prize laureate María Corina Machado, exiled since her dramatic January boat escape amid the U.S. intervention that ousted Nicolás Maduro, announced on March 1 her intent to return in coming weeks to advance a democratic transition and new elections. As of late March, she remains abroad—most recently speaking at Houston's CERAWeek on March 24 to pitch oil investment reforms—amid warnings from regime figures like Diosdado Cabello of potential risks upon reentry. The interim government's stability, intact repressive apparatus per recent UN reports, and unspecified election timeline heighten uncertainty, shaping trader assessments of her near-term entry amid fragile post-chavista negotiations.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「マリア・コリーナ・マチャドがベネズエラに入国するのは... ?」はPolymarket上の5個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「4月30日」で19%、次いで「3月31日」が1%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、19¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に19%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「マリア・コリーナ・マチャドがベネズエラに入国するのは... ?」は$5.1 millionの総取引量を生み出しています(Jan 3, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「マリア・コリーナ・マチャドがベネズエラに入国するのは... ?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている5個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「マリア・コリーナ・マチャドがベネズエラに入国するのは... ?」の現在のフロントランナーは「4月30日」で19%であり、市場がこの結果に19%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「3月31日」で1%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「マリア・コリーナ・マチャドがベネズエラに入国するのは... ?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。