Venezuelan opposition leader and 2025 Nobel Peace Prize laureate María Corina Machado, exiled since her dramatic January boat escape amid the U.S. intervention that ousted Nicolás Maduro, announced on March 1 her intent to return in coming weeks to advance a democratic transition and new elections. As of late March, she remains abroad—most recently speaking at Houston's CERAWeek on March 24 to pitch oil investment reforms—amid warnings from regime figures like Diosdado Cabello of potential risks upon reentry. The interim government's stability, intact repressive apparatus per recent UN reports, and unspecified election timeline heighten uncertainty, shaping trader assessments of her near-term entry amid fragile post-chavista negotiations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$5,081,763 Vol.

3月31日
1%

4月30日
19%
$5,081,763 Vol.

3月31日
1%

4月30日
19%
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as María Corina Machado physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not María Corina Machado enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日: Jan 4, 2026, 2:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as María Corina Machado physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not María Corina Machado enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Venezuelan opposition leader and 2025 Nobel Peace Prize laureate María Corina Machado, exiled since her dramatic January boat escape amid the U.S. intervention that ousted Nicolás Maduro, announced on March 1 her intent to return in coming weeks to advance a democratic transition and new elections. As of late March, she remains abroad—most recently speaking at Houston's CERAWeek on March 24 to pitch oil investment reforms—amid warnings from regime figures like Diosdado Cabello of potential risks upon reentry. The interim government's stability, intact repressive apparatus per recent UN reports, and unspecified election timeline heighten uncertainty, shaping trader assessments of her near-term entry amid fragile post-chavista negotiations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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