Traders' overwhelming 98.5% consensus on "No" stems from the complete absence of any US Department of Justice or FBI announcements, indictments, or investigations into the mid-March doxing of alleged Delta Force commander Jose Manuel Villarroel, whose personal details were leaked online amid Nicolás Maduro's claims of a US-led plot to capture him during Venezuela's disputed election aftermath. No perpetrators have been publicly identified, and US officials dismissed Maduro's accusations without acknowledging the operation or pursuing doxing charges, citing jurisdictional issues over foreign political speech. As the March 31 deadline nears with zero procedural movement—like arraignments or special counsel probes—only a late-breaking indictment tied to national security leaks could alter odds, though First Amendment protections remain a significant barrier.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日はい
NEW
NEW
Mar 31, 2026
はい
NEW
NEW
Mar 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any federal or state jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of any individual in connection with the alleged doxing of the Delta Force commander associated with Operation Absolute Resolve by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
For the purposes of this market, “charged” includes the filing of criminal charges, indictments, or the unsealing of a criminal complaint. Civil lawsuits alone do not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a U.S. state shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Traders' overwhelming 98.5% consensus on "No" stems from the complete absence of any US Department of Justice or FBI announcements, indictments, or investigations into the mid-March doxing of alleged Delta Force commander Jose Manuel Villarroel, whose personal details were leaked online amid Nicolás Maduro's claims of a US-led plot to capture him during Venezuela's disputed election aftermath. No perpetrators have been publicly identified, and US officials dismissed Maduro's accusations without acknowledging the operation or pursuing doxing charges, citing jurisdictional issues over foreign political speech. As the March 31 deadline nears with zero procedural movement—like arraignments or special counsel probes—only a late-breaking indictment tied to national security leaks could alter odds, though First Amendment protections remain a significant barrier.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any federal or state jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of any individual in connection with the alleged doxing of the Delta Force commander associated with Operation Absolute Resolve by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
For the purposes of this market, “charged” includes the filing of criminal charges, indictments, or the unsealing of a criminal complaint. Civil lawsuits alone do not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a U.S. state shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purposes of this market, “charged” includes the filing of criminal charges, indictments, or the unsealing of a criminal complaint. Civil lawsuits alone do not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a U.S. state shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jan 8, 2026, 6:53 PM ET
音量
$2,850終了日
Mar 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Jan 8, 2026, 6:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any federal or state jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of any individual in connection with the alleged doxing of the Delta Force commander associated with Operation Absolute Resolve by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
For the purposes of this market, “charged” includes the filing of criminal charges, indictments, or the unsealing of a criminal complaint. Civil lawsuits alone do not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a U.S. state shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Traders' overwhelming 98.5% consensus on "No" stems from the complete absence of any US Department of Justice or FBI announcements, indictments, or investigations into the mid-March doxing of alleged Delta Force commander Jose Manuel Villarroel, whose personal details were leaked online amid Nicolás Maduro's claims of a US-led plot to capture him during Venezuela's disputed election aftermath. No perpetrators have been publicly identified, and US officials dismissed Maduro's accusations without acknowledging the operation or pursuing doxing charges, citing jurisdictional issues over foreign political speech. As the March 31 deadline nears with zero procedural movement—like arraignments or special counsel probes—only a late-breaking indictment tied to national security leaks could alter odds, though First Amendment protections remain a significant barrier.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any federal or state jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of any individual in connection with the alleged doxing of the Delta Force commander associated with Operation Absolute Resolve by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
For the purposes of this market, “charged” includes the filing of criminal charges, indictments, or the unsealing of a criminal complaint. Civil lawsuits alone do not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a U.S. state shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purposes of this market, “charged” includes the filing of criminal charges, indictments, or the unsealing of a criminal complaint. Civil lawsuits alone do not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a U.S. state shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$2,850終了日
Mar 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Jan 8, 2026, 6:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Traders' overwhelming 98.5% consensus on "No" stems from the complete absence of any US Department of Justice or FBI announcements, indictments, or investigations into the mid-March doxing of alleged Delta Force commander Jose Manuel Villarroel, whose personal details were leaked online amid Nicolás Maduro's claims of a US-led plot to capture him during Venezuela's disputed election aftermath. No perpetrators have been publicly identified, and US officials dismissed Maduro's accusations without acknowledging the operation or pursuing doxing charges, citing jurisdictional issues over foreign political speech. As the March 31 deadline nears with zero procedural movement—like arraignments or special counsel probes—only a late-breaking indictment tied to national security leaks could alter odds, though First Amendment protections remain a significant barrier.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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