Trader consensus reflects a 93% implied probability of no U.S. invasion of Colombia in 2026, driven primarily by the absence of any official U.S. statements, military mobilizations, or policy signals indicating such action from the Biden administration or incoming Trump team. Colombia remains a key non-NATO ally, with ongoing joint counter-narcotics operations and U.S. aid exceeding $100 million annually, as reaffirmed in recent high-level diplomatic talks amid mild frictions over Venezuela policy and extraditions. Fringe speculation on social media about border tensions or cartels has gained no traction among analysts, underscoring stable bilateral relations absent invasion precedents since the 19th century.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日はい
$24,591 Vol.
$24,591 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
はい
$24,591 Vol.
$24,591 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Colombian land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Colombia or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Colombian land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Colombia or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Colombian land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Colombia or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Colombia or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Jan 5, 2026, 5:16 PM ET
音量
$24,591終了日
Dec 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Jan 5, 2026, 5:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Colombian land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Colombia or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Colombian land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Colombia or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Colombian land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Colombia or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Colombia or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$24,591終了日
Dec 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Jan 5, 2026, 5:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus reflects a 93% implied probability of no U.S. invasion of Colombia in 2026, driven primarily by the absence of any official U.S. statements, military mobilizations, or policy signals indicating such action from the Biden administration or incoming Trump team. Colombia remains a key non-NATO ally, with ongoing joint counter-narcotics operations and U.S. aid exceeding $100 million annually, as reaffirmed in recent high-level diplomatic talks amid mild frictions over Venezuela policy and extraditions. Fringe speculation on social media about border tensions or cartels has gained no traction among analysts, underscoring stable bilateral relations absent invasion precedents since the 19th century.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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