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グスタボ・ペトロがコロンビアの指導者として... ?

Market icon

グスタボ・ペトロがコロンビアの指導者として... ?

$152,975 Vol.

2026/06/30
Polymarket

$152,975 Vol.

Polymarket
Market icon

6月30日

$121,596 Vol.

2%

Market icon

12月31日

$31,379 Vol.

95%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Gustavo Petro ceases to be President of Colombia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Gustavo Petro's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Gustavo Petro and the government of Colombia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Gustavo Petro's term as Colombia's leader constitutionally ends August 7, 2026, barring resignation, impeachment by Congress, or other removal, with his Pacto Histórico securing a congressional election win on March 9 but lacking a majority for reforms. Trader sentiment reflects his recent approval surge to the highest since 2024, enhancing left-wing prospects ahead of the May 31 presidential first-round vote where allies like Iván Cepeda lead polls. Freshest developments include Petro's March 31 request for the Air Force commander's resignation after a public dispute over a plane crash killing 69 troops, and a denied U.S. probe into alleged drug ties reported March 20. No active impeachment; military frictions and scandals like Ecopetrol persist as risks.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Gustavo Petro ceases to be President of Colombia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Gustavo Petro's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Gustavo Petro and the government of Colombia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$152,975
終了日
2026/06/30
マーケット開始日
Jan 4, 2026, 1:51 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Gustavo Petro ceases to be President of Colombia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Gustavo Petro's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Gustavo Petro and the government of Colombia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Gustavo Petro ceases to be President of Colombia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Gustavo Petro's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Gustavo Petro and the government of Colombia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Gustavo Petro's term as Colombia's leader constitutionally ends August 7, 2026, barring resignation, impeachment by Congress, or other removal, with his Pacto Histórico securing a congressional election win on March 9 but lacking a majority for reforms. Trader sentiment reflects his recent approval surge to the highest since 2024, enhancing left-wing prospects ahead of the May 31 presidential first-round vote where allies like Iván Cepeda lead polls. Freshest developments include Petro's March 31 request for the Air Force commander's resignation after a public dispute over a plane crash killing 69 troops, and a denied U.S. probe into alleged drug ties reported March 20. No active impeachment; military frictions and scandals like Ecopetrol persist as risks.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Gustavo Petro ceases to be President of Colombia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Gustavo Petro's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Gustavo Petro and the government of Colombia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$152,975
終了日
2026/06/30
マーケット開始日
Jan 4, 2026, 1:51 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Gustavo Petro ceases to be President of Colombia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Gustavo Petro's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Gustavo Petro and the government of Colombia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「グスタボ・ペトロがコロンビアの指導者として... ?」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「12月31日」で95%、次いで「6月30日」が2%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、95¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に95%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「グスタボ・ペトロがコロンビアの指導者として... ?」は$153Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Jan 4, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「グスタボ・ペトロがコロンビアの指導者として... ?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「グスタボ・ペトロがコロンビアの指導者として... ?」の現在のフロントランナーは「12月31日」で95%であり、市場がこの結果に95%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「6月30日」で2%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「グスタボ・ペトロがコロンビアの指導者として... ?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。