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エコノミー·ベネズエラ

ベネズエラの原油生産量は2026年に1日当たり__バレルに達するでしょうか？

Market icon
エコノミー·ベネズエラ

ベネズエラの原油生産量は2026年に1日当たり__バレルに達するでしょうか？

$46,170 Vol.

Feb 28, 2027
Polymarket

$46,170 Vol.

Polymarket

100万

$0 Vol.

85%

110万

$12,409 Vol.

72%

120万

$0 Vol.

49%

130万

$5,648 Vol.

33%

140万

$16,009 Vol.

14%

150万

$0 Vol.

11%

170万

$0 Vol.

7%

200万

$12,104 Vol.

5%

This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month. The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row. This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.Venezuelan crude oil production has surged to an average 1.1 million barrels per day in March 2026, up from 903,000 bpd in February per OPEC data, driven by U.S. sanctions relief on March 18 broadly authorizing transactions with state-owned PDVSA and enabling majors like Chevron to ramp operations. This follows resumed diluted crude exports after a 15-month pause and improved diluent access critical for heavy oil transport. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects cautious optimism amid infrastructure decay and political risks, with EIA forecasting potential recovery toward pre-sanction peaks of 2-3 million bpd by midyear, though analysts doubt rapid gains beyond 0.3-0.5 million bpd without sustained investment. Key catalysts include Q2 PDVSA updates, OPEC+ quota adherence, and U.S. policy reviews amid volatile Brent crude yields around $80-90 per barrel.

Venezuelan crude oil production has surged to an average 1.1 million barrels per day in March 2026, up from 903,000 bpd in February per OPEC data, driven by U.S. sanctions relief on March 18 broadly authorizing transactions with state-owned PDVSA and enabling majors like Chevron to ramp operations. This follows resumed diluted crude exports after a 15-month pause and improved diluent access critical for heavy oil transport. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects cautious optimism amid infrastructure decay and political risks, with EIA forecasting potential recovery toward pre-sanction peaks of 2-3 million bpd by midyear, though analysts doubt rapid gains beyond 0.3-0.5 million bpd without sustained investment. Key catalysts include Q2 PDVSA updates, OPEC+ quota adherence, and U.S. policy reviews amid volatile Brent crude yields around $80-90 per barrel.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month. The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row. This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.Venezuelan crude oil production has surged to an average 1.1 million barrels per day in March 2026, up from 903,000 bpd in February per OPEC data, driven by U.S. sanctions relief on March 18 broadly authorizing transactions with state-owned PDVSA and enabling majors like Chevron to ramp operations. This follows resumed diluted crude exports after a 15-month pause and improved diluent access critical for heavy oil transport. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects cautious optimism amid infrastructure decay and political risks, with EIA forecasting potential recovery toward pre-sanction peaks of 2-3 million bpd by midyear, though analysts doubt rapid gains beyond 0.3-0.5 million bpd without sustained investment. Key catalysts include Q2 PDVSA updates, OPEC+ quota adherence, and U.S. policy reviews amid volatile Brent crude yields around $80-90 per barrel.

Venezuelan crude oil production has surged to an average 1.1 million barrels per day in March 2026, up from 903,000 bpd in February per OPEC data, driven by U.S. sanctions relief on March 18 broadly authorizing transactions with state-owned PDVSA and enabling majors like Chevron to ramp operations. This follows resumed diluted crude exports after a 15-month pause and improved diluent access critical for heavy oil transport. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects cautious optimism amid infrastructure decay and political risks, with EIA forecasting potential recovery toward pre-sanction peaks of 2-3 million bpd by midyear, though analysts doubt rapid gains beyond 0.3-0.5 million bpd without sustained investment. Key catalysts include Q2 PDVSA updates, OPEC+ quota adherence, and U.S. policy reviews amid volatile Brent crude yields around $80-90 per barrel.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「ベネズエラの原油生産量は2026年に1日当たり__バレルに達するでしょうか？」はPolymarket上の8個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「100万」で85%、次いで「110万」が72%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、85¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に85%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「ベネズエラの原油生産量は2026年に1日当たり__バレルに達するでしょうか？」は$46.2Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Jan 7, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「ベネズエラの原油生産量は2026年に1日当たり__バレルに達するでしょうか？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている8個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「ベネズエラの原油生産量は2026年に1日当たり__バレルに達するでしょうか？」の現在のフロントランナーは「100万」で85%であり、市場がこの結果に85%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「110万」で72%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「ベネズエラの原油生産量は2026年に1日当たり__バレルに達するでしょうか？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。