US-Colombia relations remain cooperative as a major non-NATO ally, with joint counter-narcotics operations and military training ongoing despite policy differences under President Gustavo Petro. No verifiable military or diplomatic developments in the past 30 days indicate escalation risks, including recent Colombian deportations of over 2,000 Venezuelans amid border tensions with Maduro's regime, where Washington urged de-escalation while backing Bogotá's actions. Petro's ELN ceasefire negotiations continue amid US concerns over rebel terrorism listings, but extradition flows and anti-cartel aid persist uninterrupted. Absent a major crisis like attacks on US personnel or diplomatic rupture, trader consensus views strikes as improbable; monitor bilateral summits or Andean security announcements for shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$1,477,503 Vol.
Jan 31, 2026
3月31日
1%
12月31日
22%
$1,477,503 Vol.
3月31日
$392,391 Vol.
1%
12月31日
$416,773 Vol.
22%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on the soil of Colombia is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.US-Colombia relations remain cooperative as a major non-NATO ally, with joint counter-narcotics operations and military training ongoing despite policy differences under President Gustavo Petro. No verifiable military or diplomatic developments in the past 30 days indicate escalation risks, including recent Colombian deportations of over 2,000 Venezuelans amid border tensions with Maduro's regime, where Washington urged de-escalation while backing Bogotá's actions. Petro's ELN ceasefire negotiations continue amid US concerns over rebel terrorism listings, but extradition flows and anti-cartel aid persist uninterrupted. Absent a major crisis like attacks on US personnel or diplomatic rupture, trader consensus views strikes as improbable; monitor bilateral summits or Andean security announcements for shifts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on the soil of Colombia is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
マーケット開始日： Jan 4, 2026, 2:46 PM ET
音量
$1,477,503終了日
Jan 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Jan 4, 2026, 2:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on the soil of Colombia is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.US-Colombia relations remain cooperative as a major non-NATO ally, with joint counter-narcotics operations and military training ongoing despite policy differences under President Gustavo Petro. No verifiable military or diplomatic developments in the past 30 days indicate escalation risks, including recent Colombian deportations of over 2,000 Venezuelans amid border tensions with Maduro's regime, where Washington urged de-escalation while backing Bogotá's actions. Petro's ELN ceasefire negotiations continue amid US concerns over rebel terrorism listings, but extradition flows and anti-cartel aid persist uninterrupted. Absent a major crisis like attacks on US personnel or diplomatic rupture, trader consensus views strikes as improbable; monitor bilateral summits or Andean security announcements for shifts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on the soil of Colombia is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
音量
$1,477,503終了日
Jan 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Jan 4, 2026, 2:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US-Colombia relations remain cooperative as a major non-NATO ally, with joint counter-narcotics operations and military training ongoing despite policy differences under President Gustavo Petro. No verifiable military or diplomatic developments in the past 30 days indicate escalation risks, including recent Colombian deportations of over 2,000 Venezuelans amid border tensions with Maduro's regime, where Washington urged de-escalation while backing Bogotá's actions. Petro's ELN ceasefire negotiations continue amid US concerns over rebel terrorism listings, but extradition flows and anti-cartel aid persist uninterrupted. Absent a major crisis like attacks on US personnel or diplomatic rupture, trader consensus views strikes as improbable; monitor bilateral summits or Andean security announcements for shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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