Nicolás Maduro remains firmly in control as Venezuela's president following his January 10, 2025, inauguration for a third term, upheld by the Supreme Tribunal of Justice despite opposition claims of electoral fraud in the July 28, 2024, vote. The opposition leader Edmundo González, in exile in Spain, released tally sheets alleging victory, but Maduro's military and institutional loyalty has prevented any arrest or custody scenario. U.S. sanctions persist without recognition of his mandate, while diplomatic pressures from the EU and Latin American nations continue amid economic crisis and protests. No credible reports indicate Maduro facing detention; trader consensus likely reflects low odds of custody, with upcoming Trump administration policies potentially influencing sanctions or negotiations but unlikely to prompt arrest.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$2,589,384 Vol.
Jan 31, 2026
12月31日
16%
$2,589,384 Vol.
12月31日
$193,935 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nicolás Maduro remains firmly in control as Venezuela's president following his January 10, 2025, inauguration for a third term, upheld by the Supreme Tribunal of Justice despite opposition claims of electoral fraud in the July 28, 2024, vote. The opposition leader Edmundo González, in exile in Spain, released tally sheets alleging victory, but Maduro's military and institutional loyalty has prevented any arrest or custody scenario. U.S. sanctions persist without recognition of his mandate, while diplomatic pressures from the EU and Latin American nations continue amid economic crisis and protests. No credible reports indicate Maduro facing detention; trader consensus likely reflects low odds of custody, with upcoming Trump administration policies potentially influencing sanctions or negotiations but unlikely to prompt arrest.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ET
音量
$2,589,384終了日
Jan 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nicolás Maduro remains firmly in control as Venezuela's president following his January 10, 2025, inauguration for a third term, upheld by the Supreme Tribunal of Justice despite opposition claims of electoral fraud in the July 28, 2024, vote. The opposition leader Edmundo González, in exile in Spain, released tally sheets alleging victory, but Maduro's military and institutional loyalty has prevented any arrest or custody scenario. U.S. sanctions persist without recognition of his mandate, while diplomatic pressures from the EU and Latin American nations continue amid economic crisis and protests. No credible reports indicate Maduro facing detention; trader consensus likely reflects low odds of custody, with upcoming Trump administration policies potentially influencing sanctions or negotiations but unlikely to prompt arrest.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$2,589,384終了日
Jan 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Nicolás Maduro remains firmly in control as Venezuela's president following his January 10, 2025, inauguration for a third term, upheld by the Supreme Tribunal of Justice despite opposition claims of electoral fraud in the July 28, 2024, vote. The opposition leader Edmundo González, in exile in Spain, released tally sheets alleging victory, but Maduro's military and institutional loyalty has prevented any arrest or custody scenario. U.S. sanctions persist without recognition of his mandate, while diplomatic pressures from the EU and Latin American nations continue amid economic crisis and protests. No credible reports indicate Maduro facing detention; trader consensus likely reflects low odds of custody, with upcoming Trump administration policies potentially influencing sanctions or negotiations but unlikely to prompt arrest.
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