Nicolás Maduro remains firmly entrenched as Venezuela's president after his January 10 inauguration, following the disputed July 2024 election where opposition leader Edmundo González claimed victory but fled into exile. Traders' unanimous 100% consensus on "No" reflects no verified diplomatic negotiations, military defections, or regime instability signaling exile to Qatar—despite past Qatari mediation in Venezuelan talks—amid recent crackdowns on protests and sustained loyalty from security forces. International sanctions and non-recognition by the US and allies have failed to dislodge him. Realistic shifts before March 31 would demand an abrupt coup, health crisis, or surprise multilateral deal, but entrenched institutional control renders these highly improbable.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日はい
$84,031 Vol.
$84,031 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
はい
$84,031 Vol.
$84,031 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro is exiled to Qatar by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Maduro will be considered to be exiled to Qatar if he is expelled from, or voluntarily leaves, Venezuela to live in freedom in Qatar for an extended period.
Announcements of Maduro's exile will not qualify, he must actually move there.
Visits or trips to Qatar will not count.
Imprisonment or detention in Qatar will not count. Freedom of movement is not required for a qualifying exile, as long as Maduro is not being held as a prisoner or detainee.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Nicolás Maduro remains firmly entrenched as Venezuela's president after his January 10 inauguration, following the disputed July 2024 election where opposition leader Edmundo González claimed victory but fled into exile. Traders' unanimous 100% consensus on "No" reflects no verified diplomatic negotiations, military defections, or regime instability signaling exile to Qatar—despite past Qatari mediation in Venezuelan talks—amid recent crackdowns on protests and sustained loyalty from security forces. International sanctions and non-recognition by the US and allies have failed to dislodge him. Realistic shifts before March 31 would demand an abrupt coup, health crisis, or surprise multilateral deal, but entrenched institutional control renders these highly improbable.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro is exiled to Qatar by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Maduro will be considered to be exiled to Qatar if he is expelled from, or voluntarily leaves, Venezuela to live in freedom in Qatar for an extended period.
Announcements of Maduro's exile will not qualify, he must actually move there.
Visits or trips to Qatar will not count.
Imprisonment or detention in Qatar will not count. Freedom of movement is not required for a qualifying exile, as long as Maduro is not being held as a prisoner or detainee.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Maduro will be considered to be exiled to Qatar if he is expelled from, or voluntarily leaves, Venezuela to live in freedom in Qatar for an extended period.
Announcements of Maduro's exile will not qualify, he must actually move there.
Visits or trips to Qatar will not count.
Imprisonment or detention in Qatar will not count. Freedom of movement is not required for a qualifying exile, as long as Maduro is not being held as a prisoner or detainee.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Dec 5, 2025, 3:03 PM ET
音量
$84,031終了日
Mar 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Dec 5, 2025, 3:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro is exiled to Qatar by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Maduro will be considered to be exiled to Qatar if he is expelled from, or voluntarily leaves, Venezuela to live in freedom in Qatar for an extended period.
Announcements of Maduro's exile will not qualify, he must actually move there.
Visits or trips to Qatar will not count.
Imprisonment or detention in Qatar will not count. Freedom of movement is not required for a qualifying exile, as long as Maduro is not being held as a prisoner or detainee.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Nicolás Maduro remains firmly entrenched as Venezuela's president after his January 10 inauguration, following the disputed July 2024 election where opposition leader Edmundo González claimed victory but fled into exile. Traders' unanimous 100% consensus on "No" reflects no verified diplomatic negotiations, military defections, or regime instability signaling exile to Qatar—despite past Qatari mediation in Venezuelan talks—amid recent crackdowns on protests and sustained loyalty from security forces. International sanctions and non-recognition by the US and allies have failed to dislodge him. Realistic shifts before March 31 would demand an abrupt coup, health crisis, or surprise multilateral deal, but entrenched institutional control renders these highly improbable.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro is exiled to Qatar by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Maduro will be considered to be exiled to Qatar if he is expelled from, or voluntarily leaves, Venezuela to live in freedom in Qatar for an extended period.
Announcements of Maduro's exile will not qualify, he must actually move there.
Visits or trips to Qatar will not count.
Imprisonment or detention in Qatar will not count. Freedom of movement is not required for a qualifying exile, as long as Maduro is not being held as a prisoner or detainee.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Maduro will be considered to be exiled to Qatar if he is expelled from, or voluntarily leaves, Venezuela to live in freedom in Qatar for an extended period.
Announcements of Maduro's exile will not qualify, he must actually move there.
Visits or trips to Qatar will not count.
Imprisonment or detention in Qatar will not count. Freedom of movement is not required for a qualifying exile, as long as Maduro is not being held as a prisoner or detainee.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$84,031終了日
Mar 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Dec 5, 2025, 3:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Nicolás Maduro remains firmly entrenched as Venezuela's president after his January 10 inauguration, following the disputed July 2024 election where opposition leader Edmundo González claimed victory but fled into exile. Traders' unanimous 100% consensus on "No" reflects no verified diplomatic negotiations, military defections, or regime instability signaling exile to Qatar—despite past Qatari mediation in Venezuelan talks—amid recent crackdowns on protests and sustained loyalty from security forces. International sanctions and non-recognition by the US and allies have failed to dislodge him. Realistic shifts before March 31 would demand an abrupt coup, health crisis, or surprise multilateral deal, but entrenched institutional control renders these highly improbable.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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