**Elevated inflation pressures are the dominant driver behind the 87.5% market-implied probability of an Official Cash Rate (OCR) increase at the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s September 2 meeting.** Q2 2026 CPI rose to 4.1% year-over-year—well above the 1–3% target band and fueled primarily by transport and energy costs—prompting the RBNZ’s unanimous 25-basis-point hike to 2.50% in July, its first tightening move in three years. Policymakers have signaled that additional tightening may be needed to anchor expectations, with the September Monetary Policy Statement serving as the next key data-dependent checkpoint. The low odds on a cut or hold reflect traders’ assessment that incoming price and activity data have not yet eased sufficiently to shift the policy path, consistent with the central bank’s guidance that further OCR adjustments remain possible.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日引き上げ 88%
据え置き 14%
引き下げ <1%
$23,499 Vol.
$23,499 Vol.
2026/09/02
引き上げ
88%
据え置き
14%
引き下げ
<1%
引き上げ 88%
据え置き 14%
引き下げ <1%
$23,499 Vol.
$23,499 Vol.
2026/09/02
引き上げ
$7,920 Vol.
88%
据え置き
$13,623 Vol.
14%
引き下げ
$1,956 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the change in the official cash rate (OCR) resulting from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s September monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its September 2, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their September 2, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the date of the next scheduled monetary policy decision, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.**Elevated inflation pressures are the dominant driver behind the 87.5% market-implied probability of an Official Cash Rate (OCR) increase at the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s September 2 meeting.**
Q2 2026 CPI rose to 4.1% year-over-year—well above the 1–3% target band and fueled primarily by transport and energy costs—prompting the RBNZ’s unanimous 25-basis-point hike to 2.50% in July, its first tightening move in three years. Policymakers have signaled that additional tightening may be needed to anchor expectations, with the September Monetary Policy Statement serving as the next key data-dependent checkpoint. The low odds on a cut or hold reflect traders’ assessment that incoming price and activity data have not yet eased sufficiently to shift the policy path, consistent with the central bank’s guidance that further OCR adjustments remain possible.
This market will resolve according to the change in the official cash rate (OCR) resulting from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s September monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its September 2, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their September 2, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the date of the next scheduled monetary policy decision, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its September 2, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their September 2, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the date of the next scheduled monetary policy decision, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
マーケット開始日： Jul 10, 2026, 10:23 AM ET
音量
$23,499終了日
2026/09/02マーケット開始日
Jul 10, 2026, 10:23 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in the official cash rate (OCR) resulting from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s September monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its September 2, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their September 2, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the date of the next scheduled monetary policy decision, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.**Elevated inflation pressures are the dominant driver behind the 87.5% market-implied probability of an Official Cash Rate (OCR) increase at the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s September 2 meeting.**
Q2 2026 CPI rose to 4.1% year-over-year—well above the 1–3% target band and fueled primarily by transport and energy costs—prompting the RBNZ’s unanimous 25-basis-point hike to 2.50% in July, its first tightening move in three years. Policymakers have signaled that additional tightening may be needed to anchor expectations, with the September Monetary Policy Statement serving as the next key data-dependent checkpoint. The low odds on a cut or hold reflect traders’ assessment that incoming price and activity data have not yet eased sufficiently to shift the policy path, consistent with the central bank’s guidance that further OCR adjustments remain possible.
This market will resolve according to the change in the official cash rate (OCR) resulting from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s September monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its September 2, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their September 2, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the date of the next scheduled monetary policy decision, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its September 2, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their September 2, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the date of the next scheduled monetary policy decision, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
音量
$23,499終了日
2026/09/02マーケット開始日
Jul 10, 2026, 10:23 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Elevated inflation pressures are the dominant driver behind the 87.5% market-implied probability of an Official Cash Rate (OCR) increase at the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s September 2 meeting.** Q2 2026 CPI rose to 4.1% year-over-year—well above the 1–3% target band and fueled primarily by transport and energy costs—prompting the RBNZ’s unanimous 25-basis-point hike to 2.50% in July, its first tightening move in three years. Policymakers have signaled that additional tightening may be needed to anchor expectations, with the September Monetary Policy Statement serving as the next key data-dependent checkpoint. The low odds on a cut or hold reflect traders’ assessment that incoming price and activity data have not yet eased sufficiently to shift the policy path, consistent with the central bank’s guidance that further OCR adjustments remain possible.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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