Trader consensus heavily favors no new country joining the Abraham Accords by June 30 at 80.5%, reflecting stalled diplomatic progress amid the ongoing US-Israel conflict with Iran. President Trump's March 27 speech in Miami urged Saudi Arabia to normalize relations under the framework—hailing Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman—yet Riyadh has offered no commitment, prioritizing regional stability and lingering Palestinian preconditions. While Kazakhstan acceded in November 2025 and Somaliland pledged alignment after Israel's December recognition, no additional formal normalization agreements have materialized since. Deepening defense-tech corridors among existing signatories like UAE and Bahrain bolster ties without expansion, with tight timelines and geopolitical risks tempering expectations for breakthroughs before the deadline.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/06/30
新規
新規
2026/06/30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors no new country joining the Abraham Accords by June 30 at 80.5%, reflecting stalled diplomatic progress amid the ongoing US-Israel conflict with Iran. President Trump's March 27 speech in Miami urged Saudi Arabia to normalize relations under the framework—hailing Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman—yet Riyadh has offered no commitment, prioritizing regional stability and lingering Palestinian preconditions. While Kazakhstan acceded in November 2025 and Somaliland pledged alignment after Israel's December recognition, no additional formal normalization agreements have materialized since. Deepening defense-tech corridors among existing signatories like UAE and Bahrain bolster ties without expansion, with tight timelines and geopolitical risks tempering expectations for breakthroughs before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Apr 1, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
音量
$1,236終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Apr 1, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors no new country joining the Abraham Accords by June 30 at 80.5%, reflecting stalled diplomatic progress amid the ongoing US-Israel conflict with Iran. President Trump's March 27 speech in Miami urged Saudi Arabia to normalize relations under the framework—hailing Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman—yet Riyadh has offered no commitment, prioritizing regional stability and lingering Palestinian preconditions. While Kazakhstan acceded in November 2025 and Somaliland pledged alignment after Israel's December recognition, no additional formal normalization agreements have materialized since. Deepening defense-tech corridors among existing signatories like UAE and Bahrain bolster ties without expansion, with tight timelines and geopolitical risks tempering expectations for breakthroughs before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$1,236終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Apr 1, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus heavily favors no new country joining the Abraham Accords by June 30 at 80.5%, reflecting stalled diplomatic progress amid the ongoing US-Israel conflict with Iran. President Trump's March 27 speech in Miami urged Saudi Arabia to normalize relations under the framework—hailing Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman—yet Riyadh has offered no commitment, prioritizing regional stability and lingering Palestinian preconditions. While Kazakhstan acceded in November 2025 and Somaliland pledged alignment after Israel's December recognition, no additional formal normalization agreements have materialized since. Deepening defense-tech corridors among existing signatories like UAE and Bahrain bolster ties without expansion, with tight timelines and geopolitical risks tempering expectations for breakthroughs before the deadline.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問