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トランプ大統領は3月に誰と話しますか?

Market icon

トランプ大統領は3月に誰と話しますか?

$1,795,946 Vol.

2026/03/31
Polymarket

$1,795,946 Vol.

Polymarket
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マーク・ルッテ

$116,698 Vol.

10%

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習近平

$1,456,160 Vol.

<1%

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ムハンマド・ビン・サルマン

$19,676 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual talks with Donald Trump between March 1 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual talks with Donald Trump between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus prices Mark Rutte at 8% and Mohammed bin Salman at 7% for conversing with President Trump in March 2026, with Xi Jinping below 1%, reflecting disputes in the market's ongoing resolution review over credible reporting of phone, video, or in-person talks from March 1-31. Amid escalating U.S.-Iran military actions—including strikes on Iranian targets and Strait of Hormuz tensions—Trump held confirmed calls with Vladimir Putin on March 9 discussing Iran and Ukraine, and Narendra Modi around March 24-27 on West Asia conflict, but no unambiguous evidence emerged for the heavily traded outcomes. Traders await consensus on disputed Rutte reports from Reuters and Fox News, underscoring uncertainty in diplomatic disclosures during heightened foreign policy pressures.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual talks with Donald Trump between March 1 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$1,795,946
終了日
2026/03/31
マーケット開始日
Mar 1, 2026, 1:48 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual talks with Donald Trump between March 1 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

提案された結果: いいえ

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: いいえ

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual talks with Donald Trump between March 1 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual talks with Donald Trump between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus prices Mark Rutte at 8% and Mohammed bin Salman at 7% for conversing with President Trump in March 2026, with Xi Jinping below 1%, reflecting disputes in the market's ongoing resolution review over credible reporting of phone, video, or in-person talks from March 1-31. Amid escalating U.S.-Iran military actions—including strikes on Iranian targets and Strait of Hormuz tensions—Trump held confirmed calls with Vladimir Putin on March 9 discussing Iran and Ukraine, and Narendra Modi around March 24-27 on West Asia conflict, but no unambiguous evidence emerged for the heavily traded outcomes. Traders await consensus on disputed Rutte reports from Reuters and Fox News, underscoring uncertainty in diplomatic disclosures during heightened foreign policy pressures.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual talks with Donald Trump between March 1 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$1,795,946
終了日
2026/03/31
マーケット開始日
Mar 1, 2026, 1:48 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual talks with Donald Trump between March 1 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

提案された結果: いいえ

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: いいえ

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「トランプ大統領は3月に誰と話しますか?」はPolymarket上の19個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「フリードリヒ・メルツ」で100%、次いで「マリア・コリナ・マチャド」が100%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「トランプ大統領は3月に誰と話しますか?」は$1.8 millionの総取引量を生み出しています(Mar 1, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「トランプ大統領は3月に誰と話しますか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている19個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「トランプ大統領は3月に誰と話しますか?」の現在のフロントランナーは「フリードリヒ・メルツ」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「マリア・コリナ・マチャド」で100%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「トランプ大統領は3月に誰と話しますか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。