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政治·トランプ

Who will Trump talk to in April?

Market icon
政治·トランプ

Who will Trump talk to in April?

Mar 31

Apr 30

Mar 31

Apr 30

$10,745 Vol.

Apr 30, 2026
Polymarket

$10,745 Vol.

Polymarket
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Mark Rutte

$1,194 Vol.

78%

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Mohammed bin Salman

$422 Vol.

67%

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Emmanuel Macron

$579 Vol.

66%

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Keir Starmer

$235 Vol.

65%

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Lula da Silva

$554 Vol.

59%

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Friedrich Merz

$356 Vol.

57%

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Vladimir Putin

$429 Vol.

54%

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Volodymyr Zelenskyy

$120 Vol.

54%

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Ursula von der Leyen

$1,546 Vol.

52%

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Mark Carney

$24 Vol.

48%

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Xi Jinping

$212 Vol.

37%

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Maria Corina Machado

$391 Vol.

28%

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Ahmed al-Sharaa

$91 Vol.

14%

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Masoud Pezeshkian

$1,421 Vol.

13%

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Nicolás Maduro

$0 Vol.

6%

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Reza Pahlavi

$385 Vol.

10%

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Kim Jong Un

$916 Vol.

4%

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Yoon Suk Yeol

$1,840 Vol.

3%

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イーロン・マスク

$27 Vol.

50%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual talks with Donald Trump between April 1 and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus favors Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman at 68% implied probability for the first confirmed April conversation with President Trump, propelled by the March 27 extension of the U.S. pause on strikes against Iranian energy infrastructure until April 6 amid Strait of Hormuz blockade tensions and reports of backchannel peace talks involving Gulf states. NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte (65%) and UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer (65%) follow closely, reflecting anticipated alliance coordination during the ongoing Iran conflict escalation. Recent diplomatic outreach to Israel's Netanyahu and Ukraine's Zelenskyy underscores Middle East and Europe priorities, while a delayed Beijing summit pushes Xi Jinping odds to 38%. No official April docket announced; the April 6 deadline represents a key catalyst ahead of market resolution on April 30.

Trader consensus favors Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman at 68% implied probability for the first confirmed April conversation with President Trump, propelled by the March 27 extension of the U.S. pause on strikes against Iranian energy infrastructure until April 6 amid Strait of Hormuz blockade tensions and reports of backchannel peace talks involving Gulf states. NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte (65%) and UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer (65%) follow closely, reflecting anticipated alliance coordination during the ongoing Iran conflict escalation. Recent diplomatic outreach to Israel's Netanyahu and Ukraine's Zelenskyy underscores Middle East and Europe priorities, while a delayed Beijing summit pushes Xi Jinping odds to 38%. No official April docket announced; the April 6 deadline represents a key catalyst ahead of market resolution on April 30.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual talks with Donald Trump between April 1 and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus favors Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman at 68% implied probability for the first confirmed April conversation with President Trump, propelled by the March 27 extension of the U.S. pause on strikes against Iranian energy infrastructure until April 6 amid Strait of Hormuz blockade tensions and reports of backchannel peace talks involving Gulf states. NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte (65%) and UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer (65%) follow closely, reflecting anticipated alliance coordination during the ongoing Iran conflict escalation. Recent diplomatic outreach to Israel's Netanyahu and Ukraine's Zelenskyy underscores Middle East and Europe priorities, while a delayed Beijing summit pushes Xi Jinping odds to 38%. No official April docket announced; the April 6 deadline represents a key catalyst ahead of market resolution on April 30.

Trader consensus favors Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman at 68% implied probability for the first confirmed April conversation with President Trump, propelled by the March 27 extension of the U.S. pause on strikes against Iranian energy infrastructure until April 6 amid Strait of Hormuz blockade tensions and reports of backchannel peace talks involving Gulf states. NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte (65%) and UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer (65%) follow closely, reflecting anticipated alliance coordination during the ongoing Iran conflict escalation. Recent diplomatic outreach to Israel's Netanyahu and Ukraine's Zelenskyy underscores Middle East and Europe priorities, while a delayed Beijing summit pushes Xi Jinping odds to 38%. No official April docket announced; the April 6 deadline represents a key catalyst ahead of market resolution on April 30.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「Who will Trump talk to in April?」はPolymarket上の19個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Mark Rutte」で78%、次いで「Mohammed bin Salman」が67%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、78¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に78%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「Who will Trump talk to in April?」は$10.7Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Mar 24, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「Who will Trump talk to in April?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている19個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Who will Trump talk to in April?」の現在のフロントランナーは「Mark Rutte」で78%であり、市場がこの結果に78%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Mohammed bin Salman」で67%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Who will Trump talk to in April?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。