VVD＋CDA＋D66 99.6%
10月31日までに連立なし <1%
PVV＋GL/PvdA＋VVD＋CDA <1%
PVV + JA21 <1%
$66,889,500 Vol.
$66,889,500 Vol.
Oct 31, 2026
VVD＋CDA＋D66
$1,122,415 Vol.
100%
10月31日までに連立なし
$663,810 Vol.
<1%
PVV＋GL/PvdA＋VVD＋CDA
$4,197,080 Vol.
<1%
PVV + JA21
$1,187,292 Vol.
<1%
PVV＋VVD＋JA21
$1,149,612 Vol.
<1%
PVV＋VVD＋JA21＋D66
$1,134,599 Vol.
<1%
PVV＋VVD
$3,169,752 Vol.
<1%
PVV＋CDA
$2,743,212 Vol.
<1%
PVV＋VVD＋D66
$6,830,233 Vol.
<1%
PVV＋CDA＋JA21
$2,385,932 Vol.
<1%
PVV＋VVD＋CDA＋JA21
$2,029,903 Vol.
<1%
PVV＋VVD＋CDA＋JA21＋D66
$1,594,419 Vol.
<1%
PVV＋VVD＋CDA
$1,497,304 Vol.
<1%
PVV＋CDA＋D66
$2,043,546 Vol.
<1%
PVV + VVD + CDA + D66
$1,255,904 Vol.
<1%
VVD＋JA21
$685,772 Vol.
<1%
VVD＋CDA＋JA21＋D66
$992,749 Vol.
<1%
VVD＋D66
$617,171 Vol.
<1%
GL/PvdA＋VVD＋CDA
$368,853 Vol.
<1%
PVV＋GL/PvdA＋VVD＋CDA＋D66
$5,894,148 Vol.
<1%
GL/PvdA＋D66
$122,972 Vol.
<1%
その他
$1,091,369 Vol.
<1%
VVD＋CDA＋JA21
$14,367,723 Vol.
<1%
VVD＋CDA
$4,103,706 Vol.
<1%
CDA＋D66
$507,270 Vol.
<1%
GL/PvdA + VVD
$572,742 Vol.
<1%
GL/PvdA＋VVD＋D66
$1,188,445 Vol.
<1%
GL/PvdA＋D66＋CDA
$841,304 Vol.
<1%
GL/PvdA＋CDA
$1,267,774 Vol.
<1%
GL/PvdA
$1,261,445 Vol.
<1%
The 2025 Dutch general election is scheduled to take place on October 29, 2025.
This market will resolve to the first ruling coalition of parties that forms after the 2025 Dutch general election.
If the next Dutch Government after the election is not announced by October 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "No Coalition by October 31".
A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it signs the coalition agreement and provides at least one cabinet minister.
This market may resolve once the first government is officially announced and sworn in by the monarch, with ministers appointed under non-caretaker circumstances.
The following parties will be to be considered for this market: PVV, GroenLinks–PvdA, VVD, CDA, D66, JA21. All other parties (including but not limited to SP, BBB, NSC, DENK, PvdD, FvD, SGP, CU, and Volt) will not be considered.
Resolution will be based on the listed option that most completely matches the parties included. If the coalition formed after the election includes all of the parties listed in a market option (along with any other parties), that option will resolve to “Yes” unless there exists another market option that more completely covers the coalition.
For example:
If the governing coalition includes GL–PvdA + VVD + CDA + JA21, but no option explicitly lists those four together, the market will resolve to “VVD + CDA + JA21”.
If the governing coalition includes PVV + VVD + CDA + D66, the option “PVV + VVD + CDA + D66” will resolve to “Yes”, while “PVV + VVD + CDA” will resolve to “No".
If the governing coalition does not match any listed option (e.g. the governing coalition is D66 + JA21) this market will resolve to “Other”.
In the event that multiple market options each contain an equal number of coalition parties, the tie will be resolved in favor of the option whose listed parties together hold the greater number of seats in the newly elected House of Representatives. If this presents another tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed coalition which received the greater number of valid votes.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of the Netherlands.The 2025 Dutch general election is scheduled to take place on October 29, 2025.
This market will resolve to the first ruling coalition of parties that forms after the 2025 Dutch general election.
If the next Dutch Government after the election is not announced by October 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "No Coalition by October 31".
A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it signs the coalition agreement and provides at least one cabinet minister.
This market may resolve once the first government is officially announced and sworn in by the monarch, with ministers appointed under non-caretaker circumstances.
The following parties will be to be considered for this market: PVV, GroenLinks–PvdA, VVD, CDA, D66, JA21. All other parties (including but not limited to SP, BBB, NSC, DENK, PvdD, FvD, SGP, CU, and Volt) will not be considered.
Resolution will be based on the listed option that most completely matches the parties included. If the coalition formed after the election includes all of the parties listed in a market option (along with any other parties), that option will resolve to “Yes” unless there exists another market option that more completely covers the coalition.
For example:
If the governing coalition includes GL–PvdA + VVD + CDA + JA21, but no option explicitly lists those four together, the market will resolve to “VVD + CDA + JA21”.
If the governing coalition includes PVV + VVD + CDA + D66, the option “PVV + VVD + CDA + D66” will resolve to “Yes”, while “PVV + VVD + CDA” will resolve to “No".
If the governing coalition does not match any listed option (e.g. the governing coalition is D66 + JA21) this market will resolve to “Other”.
In the event that multiple market options each contain an equal number of coalition parties, the tie will be resolved in favor of the option whose listed parties together hold the greater number of seats in the newly elected House of Representatives. If this presents another tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed coalition which received the greater number of valid votes.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of the Netherlands.
This market will resolve to the first ruling coalition of parties that forms after the 2025 Dutch general election.
If the next Dutch Government after the election is not announced by October 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "No Coalition by October 31".
A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it signs the coalition agreement and provides at least one cabinet minister.
This market may resolve once the first government is officially announced and sworn in by the monarch, with ministers appointed under non-caretaker circumstances.
The following parties will be to be considered for this market: PVV, GroenLinks–PvdA, VVD, CDA, D66, JA21. All other parties (including but not limited to SP, BBB, NSC, DENK, PvdD, FvD, SGP, CU, and Volt) will not be considered.
Resolution will be based on the listed option that most completely matches the parties included. If the coalition formed after the election includes all of the parties listed in a market option (along with any other parties), that option will resolve to “Yes” unless there exists another market option that more completely covers the coalition.
For example:
If the governing coalition includes GL–PvdA + VVD + CDA + JA21, but no option explicitly lists those four together, the market will resolve to “VVD + CDA + JA21”.
If the governing coalition includes PVV + VVD + CDA + D66, the option “PVV + VVD + CDA + D66” will resolve to “Yes”, while “PVV + VVD + CDA” will resolve to “No".
If the governing coalition does not match any listed option (e.g. the governing coalition is D66 + JA21) this market will resolve to “Other”.
In the event that multiple market options each contain an equal number of coalition parties, the tie will be resolved in favor of the option whose listed parties together hold the greater number of seats in the newly elected House of Representatives. If this presents another tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed coalition which received the greater number of valid votes.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of the Netherlands.
作成日： Oct 15, 2025, 1:47 PM ET
音量
$66,889,500終了日
Oct 31, 2026作成日時
Oct 15, 2025, 1:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...VVD＋CDA＋D66 99.6%
10月31日までに連立なし <1%
PVV＋GL/PvdA＋VVD＋CDA <1%
PVV + JA21 <1%
$66,889,500 Vol.
$66,889,500 Vol.
Oct 31, 2026
VVD＋CDA＋D66
$1,122,415 Vol.
100%
10月31日までに連立なし
$663,810 Vol.
<1%
PVV＋GL/PvdA＋VVD＋CDA
$4,197,080 Vol.
<1%
PVV + JA21
$1,187,292 Vol.
<1%
PVV＋VVD＋JA21
$1,149,612 Vol.
<1%
PVV＋VVD＋JA21＋D66
$1,134,599 Vol.
<1%
PVV＋VVD
$3,169,752 Vol.
<1%
PVV＋CDA
$2,743,212 Vol.
<1%
PVV＋VVD＋D66
$6,830,233 Vol.
<1%
PVV＋CDA＋JA21
$2,385,932 Vol.
<1%
PVV＋VVD＋CDA＋JA21
$2,029,903 Vol.
<1%
PVV＋VVD＋CDA＋JA21＋D66
$1,594,419 Vol.
<1%
PVV＋VVD＋CDA
$1,497,304 Vol.
<1%
PVV＋CDA＋D66
$2,043,546 Vol.
<1%
PVV + VVD + CDA + D66
$1,255,904 Vol.
<1%
VVD＋JA21
$685,772 Vol.
<1%
VVD＋CDA＋JA21＋D66
$992,749 Vol.
<1%
VVD＋D66
$617,171 Vol.
<1%
GL/PvdA＋VVD＋CDA
$368,853 Vol.
<1%
PVV＋GL/PvdA＋VVD＋CDA＋D66
$5,894,148 Vol.
<1%
GL/PvdA＋D66
$122,972 Vol.
<1%
その他
$1,091,369 Vol.
<1%
VVD＋CDA＋JA21
$14,367,723 Vol.
<1%
VVD＋CDA
$4,103,706 Vol.
<1%
CDA＋D66
$507,270 Vol.
<1%
GL/PvdA + VVD
$572,742 Vol.
<1%
GL/PvdA＋VVD＋D66
$1,188,445 Vol.
<1%
GL/PvdA＋D66＋CDA
$841,304 Vol.
<1%
GL/PvdA＋CDA
$1,267,774 Vol.
<1%
GL/PvdA
$1,261,445 Vol.
<1%
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Frequently Asked Questions
"次のオランダ政府を形成するのはどの連立政権ですか？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 30 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "VVD＋CDA＋D66" at 100%, followed by "10月31日までに連立なし" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.
As of today, "次のオランダ政府を形成するのはどの連立政権ですか？" has generated $66.9 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 15, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.
To trade on "次のオランダ政府を形成するのはどの連立政権ですか？," browse the 30 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.
The current frontrunner for "次のオランダ政府を形成するのはどの連立政権ですか？" is "VVD＋CDA＋D66" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "10月31日までに連立なし" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.
The resolution rules for "次のオランダ政府を形成するのはどの連立政権ですか？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.
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外部リンクに注意してください。
Frequently Asked Questions