Trader consensus heavily favors no Zelenskyy-Putin meeting before 2027 at 78.5%, reflecting stalled trilateral Ukraine-Russia-US peace talks that resumed in early 2026 but remain indirect, with no bilateral summit scheduled. Recent rounds in the UAE and Geneva faltered over occupied territories, security guarantees, and Zaporizhzhia nuclear plant control, as Zelenskyy stated on March 15 readiness for continuation pending US and Russian moves. Putin has avoided direct contact since 2019, prioritizing ultimatums amid ongoing drone strikes and escalations. Qatar/UAE leads alternatives at 3.1% for hosting recent mediation, followed by Turkey at 2.4% due to prior Istanbul talks, while US at 2.3% ties to envoy involvement like Witkoff's Moscow visits. Upcoming trilateral sessions could shift dynamics, but deep mistrust sustains the no-meeting lead.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日2027年以前に会談なし 79%
カタール / UAE 3.2%
トルコ 2.3%
米国 2.3%
$1,821,437 Vol.
$1,821,437 Vol.

2027年以前に会談なし
79%

カタール / UAE
3%

トルコ
2%

米国
2%

ロシア
2%

ハンガリー
2%

サウジアラビア
2%

スイス
2%

ベラルーシ
1%

ウクライナ
1%

中国
1%

インド
1%

イタリア/バチカン
1%

カザフスタン
1%
2027年以前に会談なし 79%
カタール / UAE 3.2%
トルコ 2.3%
米国 2.3%
$1,821,437 Vol.
$1,821,437 Vol.

2027年以前に会談なし
79%

カタール / UAE
3%

トルコ
2%

米国
2%

ロシア
2%

ハンガリー
2%

サウジアラビア
2%

スイス
2%

ベラルーシ
1%

ウクライナ
1%

中国
1%

インド
1%

イタリア/バチカン
1%

カザフスタン
1%
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Zelenskyy and Putin are both present and interact with each other in person.
For the purpose of this market, a meeting held on Ukrainian territory under the de facto control of Russia (e.g., Crimea) will be considered part of Russia.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日: Nov 6, 2025, 10:49 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A meeting is defined as any encounter where Zelenskyy and Putin are both present and interact with each other in person.
For the purpose of this market, a meeting held on Ukrainian territory under the de facto control of Russia (e.g., Crimea) will be considered part of Russia.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors no Zelenskyy-Putin meeting before 2027 at 78.5%, reflecting stalled trilateral Ukraine-Russia-US peace talks that resumed in early 2026 but remain indirect, with no bilateral summit scheduled. Recent rounds in the UAE and Geneva faltered over occupied territories, security guarantees, and Zaporizhzhia nuclear plant control, as Zelenskyy stated on March 15 readiness for continuation pending US and Russian moves. Putin has avoided direct contact since 2019, prioritizing ultimatums amid ongoing drone strikes and escalations. Qatar/UAE leads alternatives at 3.1% for hosting recent mediation, followed by Turkey at 2.4% due to prior Istanbul talks, while US at 2.3% ties to envoy involvement like Witkoff's Moscow visits. Upcoming trilateral sessions could shift dynamics, but deep mistrust sustains the no-meeting lead.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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