Incumbent Rep. Wesley Hunt's decision to vacate his Houston-area seat for a U.S. Senate bid created an open race in the solidly Republican TX-38 district, bolstering trader consensus at 83% for the Republican Party nominee. The March 3 primaries advanced Trump-endorsed mortgage banker Jon Bonck and business leader Shelly deZevallos to the May 26 Republican runoff, signaling robust GOP field strength amid no competitive Democratic challenge from nominee Melissa McDonough. With Cook Political Report rating it Solid R based on partisan voting index and historical margins, traders see significant barriers to a Democratic upset absent major shifts like national midterm dynamics or scandals before the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
84%
民主党
14%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
$4,121 Vol.
84%
民主党
$0 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Wesley Hunt's decision to vacate his Houston-area seat for a U.S. Senate bid created an open race in the solidly Republican TX-38 district, bolstering trader consensus at 83% for the Republican Party nominee. The March 3 primaries advanced Trump-endorsed mortgage banker Jon Bonck and business leader Shelly deZevallos to the May 26 Republican runoff, signaling robust GOP field strength amid no competitive Democratic challenge from nominee Melissa McDonough. With Cook Political Report rating it Solid R based on partisan voting index and historical margins, traders see significant barriers to a Democratic upset absent major shifts like national midterm dynamics or scandals before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$4,121終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Wesley Hunt's decision to vacate his Houston-area seat for a U.S. Senate bid created an open race in the solidly Republican TX-38 district, bolstering trader consensus at 83% for the Republican Party nominee. The March 3 primaries advanced Trump-endorsed mortgage banker Jon Bonck and business leader Shelly deZevallos to the May 26 Republican runoff, signaling robust GOP field strength amid no competitive Democratic challenge from nominee Melissa McDonough. With Cook Political Report rating it Solid R based on partisan voting index and historical margins, traders see significant barriers to a Democratic upset absent major shifts like national midterm dynamics or scandals before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$4,121終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Wesley Hunt's decision to vacate his Houston-area seat for a U.S. Senate bid created an open race in the solidly Republican TX-38 district, bolstering trader consensus at 83% for the Republican Party nominee. The March 3 primaries advanced Trump-endorsed mortgage banker Jon Bonck and business leader Shelly deZevallos to the May 26 Republican runoff, signaling robust GOP field strength amid no competitive Democratic challenge from nominee Melissa McDonough. With Cook Political Report rating it Solid R based on partisan voting index and historical margins, traders see significant barriers to a Democratic upset absent major shifts like national midterm dynamics or scandals before the November 3 general election.
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