Freedom Movement (GS), led by incumbent Prime Minister Robert Golob, secured a razor-thin plurality with 29 seats to the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS)'s 28 in Slovenia's March 22 parliamentary election under proportional representation, as confirmed by tallies exceeding 99% of votes counted. This photo-finish outcome, amid a fragmented National Assembly where no party reached a majority, has solidified trader consensus on GS as the election winner by most seats, reflecting the wisdom of crowds in skin-in-the-game pricing. Pre-election polls showed a tight race overshadowed by an alleged espionage scandal, but final results favored GS's centre-left coalition potential. Only an improbable recount reversal or procedural challenge could shift this, with coalition negotiations now underway to form a majority government.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$4,409,114 Vol.
$4,409,114 Vol.
Mar 22, 2026
自由運動（GS）
99%
スロベニア民主党（SDS）
1%
$4,409,114 Vol.
$4,409,114 Vol.
Mar 22, 2026
自由運動（GS）
$1,995,543 Vol.
99%
スロベニア民主党（SDS）
$2,413,571 Vol.
1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Slovenian Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Slovenian government, specifically the Slovenian Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (dvk-rs.si/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.Freedom Movement (GS), led by incumbent Prime Minister Robert Golob, secured a razor-thin plurality with 29 seats to the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS)'s 28 in Slovenia's March 22 parliamentary election under proportional representation, as confirmed by tallies exceeding 99% of votes counted. This photo-finish outcome, amid a fragmented National Assembly where no party reached a majority, has solidified trader consensus on GS as the election winner by most seats, reflecting the wisdom of crowds in skin-in-the-game pricing. Pre-election polls showed a tight race overshadowed by an alleged espionage scandal, but final results favored GS's centre-left coalition potential. Only an improbable recount reversal or procedural challenge could shift this, with coalition negotiations now underway to form a majority government.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Slovenian Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Slovenian government, specifically the Slovenian Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (dvk-rs.si/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Slovenian Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Slovenian government, specifically the Slovenian Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (dvk-rs.si/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
マーケット開始日： Dec 23, 2025, 4:36 PM ET
音量
$4,409,114終了日
Mar 22, 2026マーケット開始日
Dec 23, 2025, 4:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Slovenian Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Slovenian government, specifically the Slovenian Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (dvk-rs.si/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.Freedom Movement (GS), led by incumbent Prime Minister Robert Golob, secured a razor-thin plurality with 29 seats to the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS)'s 28 in Slovenia's March 22 parliamentary election under proportional representation, as confirmed by tallies exceeding 99% of votes counted. This photo-finish outcome, amid a fragmented National Assembly where no party reached a majority, has solidified trader consensus on GS as the election winner by most seats, reflecting the wisdom of crowds in skin-in-the-game pricing. Pre-election polls showed a tight race overshadowed by an alleged espionage scandal, but final results favored GS's centre-left coalition potential. Only an improbable recount reversal or procedural challenge could shift this, with coalition negotiations now underway to form a majority government.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Slovenian Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Slovenian government, specifically the Slovenian Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (dvk-rs.si/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Slovenian Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Slovenian government, specifically the Slovenian Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (dvk-rs.si/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
音量
$4,409,114終了日
Mar 22, 2026マーケット開始日
Dec 23, 2025, 4:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Freedom Movement (GS), led by incumbent Prime Minister Robert Golob, secured a razor-thin plurality with 29 seats to the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS)'s 28 in Slovenia's March 22 parliamentary election under proportional representation, as confirmed by tallies exceeding 99% of votes counted. This photo-finish outcome, amid a fragmented National Assembly where no party reached a majority, has solidified trader consensus on GS as the election winner by most seats, reflecting the wisdom of crowds in skin-in-the-game pricing. Pre-election polls showed a tight race overshadowed by an alleged espionage scandal, but final results favored GS's centre-left coalition potential. Only an improbable recount reversal or procedural challenge could shift this, with coalition negotiations now underway to form a majority government.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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