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政治·イラン

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?

Market icon
政治·イラン

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?

Mar 31

Apr 30

Jun 30

Mar 31

Apr 30

Jun 30

8% chance
Polymarket

$41,262 Vol.

8% chance
Polymarket

$41,262 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Pete Hegseth remains entrenched as Secretary of Defense, actively leading U.S. military operations against Iran following strikes that began February 28, with recent Pentagon press briefings on March 19 and statements affirming unchanged objectives as of March 19. Trader consensus at 92% "No" reflects his stability despite bipartisan scrutiny over "no quarter" rhetoric criticized as potentially violating laws of war (March 14–16 Senate letter) and a fresh Pentagon spending scandal (March 19). No resignation signals, firings, or Trump administration moves indicate removal by April 30, outweighing past confirmation controversies from 2025; ongoing Iran conflict bolsters his position amid cabinet loyalty dynamics.

Pete Hegseth remains entrenched as Secretary of Defense, actively leading U.S. military operations against Iran following strikes that began February 28, with recent Pentagon press briefings on March 19 and statements affirming unchanged objectives as of March 19. Trader consensus at 92% "No" reflects his stability despite bipartisan scrutiny over "no quarter" rhetoric criticized as potentially violating laws of war (March 14–16 Senate letter) and a fresh Pentagon spending scandal (March 19). No resignation signals, firings, or Trump administration moves indicate removal by April 30, outweighing past confirmation controversies from 2025; ongoing Iran conflict bolsters his position amid cabinet loyalty dynamics.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Pete Hegseth remains entrenched as Secretary of Defense, actively leading U.S. military operations against Iran following strikes that began February 28, with recent Pentagon press briefings on March 19 and statements affirming unchanged objectives as of March 19. Trader consensus at 92% "No" reflects his stability despite bipartisan scrutiny over "no quarter" rhetoric criticized as potentially violating laws of war (March 14–16 Senate letter) and a fresh Pentagon spending scandal (March 19). No resignation signals, firings, or Trump administration moves indicate removal by April 30, outweighing past confirmation controversies from 2025; ongoing Iran conflict bolsters his position amid cabinet loyalty dynamics.

Pete Hegseth remains entrenched as Secretary of Defense, actively leading U.S. military operations against Iran following strikes that began February 28, with recent Pentagon press briefings on March 19 and statements affirming unchanged objectives as of March 19. Trader consensus at 92% "No" reflects his stability despite bipartisan scrutiny over "no quarter" rhetoric criticized as potentially violating laws of war (March 14–16 Senate letter) and a fresh Pentagon spending scandal (March 19). No resignation signals, firings, or Trump administration moves indicate removal by April 30, outweighing past confirmation controversies from 2025; ongoing Iran conflict bolsters his position amid cabinet loyalty dynamics.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?」はPolymarket上の予測市場で、トレーダーがこのイベントが起こるかどうかに基づいて「はい」または「いいえ」のシェアを売買します。コミュニティによる現在の確率は「Yes」に対して8%です。例えば、「はい」が8¢で取引されている場合、市場はこのイベントが発生する確率を8%と集合的に評価しています。これらのオッズはトレーダーが新しい展開や情報に反応するにつれて継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?」は$41.3Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Mar 19, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?」で取引するには、答えが「はい」か「いいえ」かを選ぶだけです。各側には市場の暗示確率を反映する現在の価格があります。金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。「はい」のシェアを購入し、結果が「はい」と決まった場合、各シェアは$1を支払います。「いいえ」と決まった場合、「はい」のシェアは$0を支払います。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却して利益を確定したり、損失を抑えたりすることもできます。

「Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?」の現在の確率は「Yes」に対して8%です。これはPolymarketコミュニティがこのイベントの発生確率を8%と現在評価していることを意味します。これらのオッズは実際の取引に基づいてリアルタイムで更新され、市場の期待を継続的に反映するシグナルを提供します。

「Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。