OpenAI has not filed for an IPO, with trader sentiment reflecting uncertainty over timing amid its transition to a for-profit structure capped by nonprofit oversight. Recent secondary tender offers valued the company at around $157 billion pre-money in October 2024, driven by explosive revenue growth—projected at $3.7 billion for 2024 from ChatGPT subscriptions and API usage—despite widening losses from heavy compute investments. Microsoft’s deepening partnership and AI sector hype support elevated private valuations, but regulatory scrutiny on AI safety and antitrust risks loom. Key catalysts include potential S-1 filing announcements or further funding rounds, with market cap resolution hinging on IPO pricing against comparable tech debuts like Snowflake's $33 billion. Polymarket odds capture this trader consensus on blockbuster scale potential versus execution hurdles.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日1,068
$334,781 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
8,000億ドル
64%
1兆ドル
57%
1.2兆ドル
36%
1.4兆ドル
27%
1.6兆ドル
24%
$334,781 Vol.
8,000億ドル
$66,801 Vol.
64%
1兆ドル
$0 Vol.
57%
1.2兆ドル
$228,906 Vol.
36%
1.4兆ドル
$0 Vol.
27%
1.6兆ドル
$39,073 Vol.
24%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.OpenAI has not filed for an IPO, with trader sentiment reflecting uncertainty over timing amid its transition to a for-profit structure capped by nonprofit oversight. Recent secondary tender offers valued the company at around $157 billion pre-money in October 2024, driven by explosive revenue growth—projected at $3.7 billion for 2024 from ChatGPT subscriptions and API usage—despite widening losses from heavy compute investments. Microsoft’s deepening partnership and AI sector hype support elevated private valuations, but regulatory scrutiny on AI safety and antitrust risks loom. Key catalysts include potential S-1 filing announcements or further funding rounds, with market cap resolution hinging on IPO pricing against comparable tech debuts like Snowflake's $33 billion. Polymarket odds capture this trader consensus on blockbuster scale potential versus execution hurdles.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
マーケット開始日： Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ET
音量
$334,781終了日
Dec 31, 2027マーケット開始日
Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.OpenAI has not filed for an IPO, with trader sentiment reflecting uncertainty over timing amid its transition to a for-profit structure capped by nonprofit oversight. Recent secondary tender offers valued the company at around $157 billion pre-money in October 2024, driven by explosive revenue growth—projected at $3.7 billion for 2024 from ChatGPT subscriptions and API usage—despite widening losses from heavy compute investments. Microsoft’s deepening partnership and AI sector hype support elevated private valuations, but regulatory scrutiny on AI safety and antitrust risks loom. Key catalysts include potential S-1 filing announcements or further funding rounds, with market cap resolution hinging on IPO pricing against comparable tech debuts like Snowflake's $33 billion. Polymarket odds capture this trader consensus on blockbuster scale potential versus execution hurdles.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
音量
$334,781終了日
Dec 31, 2027マーケット開始日
Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI has not filed for an IPO, with trader sentiment reflecting uncertainty over timing amid its transition to a for-profit structure capped by nonprofit oversight. Recent secondary tender offers valued the company at around $157 billion pre-money in October 2024, driven by explosive revenue growth—projected at $3.7 billion for 2024 from ChatGPT subscriptions and API usage—despite widening losses from heavy compute investments. Microsoft’s deepening partnership and AI sector hype support elevated private valuations, but regulatory scrutiny on AI safety and antitrust risks loom. Key catalysts include potential S-1 filing announcements or further funding rounds, with market cap resolution hinging on IPO pricing against comparable tech debuts like Snowflake's $33 billion. Polymarket odds capture this trader consensus on blockbuster scale potential versus execution hurdles.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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