Incumbent U.S. Senator Cory Booker commands 99.5% trader consensus in the New Jersey Democratic Senate primary market ahead of the June 2, 2026, contest, driven by his unchallenged status following the March 23 filing deadline. Official candidate lists confirm Booker as the sole qualified Democrat on the ballot, with would-be challengers like Saxon Callahan and Gregory Richard Tomaini failing to meet petition requirements despite earlier declarations. Booker's incumbency advantage, massive fundraising haul exceeding $30 million, and strong name recognition in the deep-blue state solidify his position, reflecting historical base rates where sitting senators rarely lose primaries. While exceeding 90% implied probability, scenarios like a late-breaking scandal, health event, or legal disqualification could theoretically disrupt this, though traders price such risks as negligible.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日コリー・ブッカー 99.3%
サクソン・キャラハン 1.7%
グレゴリー・トマイニ <1%
コリー・ブッカー
99%
サクソン・キャラハン
2%
グレゴリー・トマイニ
<1%
コリー・ブッカー 99.3%
サクソン・キャラハン 1.7%
グレゴリー・トマイニ <1%
コリー・ブッカー
99%
サクソン・キャラハン
2%
グレゴリー・トマイニ
<1%
If no 2026 New Jersey Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Jersey Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
マーケット開始日: Nov 26, 2025, 5:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 New Jersey Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Jersey Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent U.S. Senator Cory Booker commands 99.5% trader consensus in the New Jersey Democratic Senate primary market ahead of the June 2, 2026, contest, driven by his unchallenged status following the March 23 filing deadline. Official candidate lists confirm Booker as the sole qualified Democrat on the ballot, with would-be challengers like Saxon Callahan and Gregory Richard Tomaini failing to meet petition requirements despite earlier declarations. Booker's incumbency advantage, massive fundraising haul exceeding $30 million, and strong name recognition in the deep-blue state solidify his position, reflecting historical base rates where sitting senators rarely lose primaries. While exceeding 90% implied probability, scenarios like a late-breaking scandal, health event, or legal disqualification could theoretically disrupt this, though traders price such risks as negligible.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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