Trader consensus strongly favors the Republican Party at 79% for Nebraska's 1st Congressional District House seat, anchored by incumbent Mike Flood's unopposed Republican primary on May 12 and the district's R+6 Cook Partisan Voter Index, bolstered by his 60%-40% 2024 general election victory amid rural turnout dominance over Lincoln. Flood announced re-election February 15 with $1.2 million cash on hand as of late 2025, far exceeding Democratic primary rivals Christopher Backemeyer ($125,000) and Eric Moyer ($5,000), confirmed after the March 2 filing deadline. Cook rates it Solid Republican; no polls yet, but high barriers persist for Democrats ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$12,320 Vol.
$12,320 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
79%
民主党
19%
$12,320 Vol.
$12,320 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$7,227 Vol.
79%
民主党
$5,093 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NE-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus strongly favors the Republican Party at 79% for Nebraska's 1st Congressional District House seat, anchored by incumbent Mike Flood's unopposed Republican primary on May 12 and the district's R+6 Cook Partisan Voter Index, bolstered by his 60%-40% 2024 general election victory amid rural turnout dominance over Lincoln. Flood announced re-election February 15 with $1.2 million cash on hand as of late 2025, far exceeding Democratic primary rivals Christopher Backemeyer ($125,000) and Eric Moyer ($5,000), confirmed after the March 2 filing deadline. Cook rates it Solid Republican; no polls yet, but high barriers persist for Democrats ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NE-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
音量
$12,320終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NE-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus strongly favors the Republican Party at 79% for Nebraska's 1st Congressional District House seat, anchored by incumbent Mike Flood's unopposed Republican primary on May 12 and the district's R+6 Cook Partisan Voter Index, bolstered by his 60%-40% 2024 general election victory amid rural turnout dominance over Lincoln. Flood announced re-election February 15 with $1.2 million cash on hand as of late 2025, far exceeding Democratic primary rivals Christopher Backemeyer ($125,000) and Eric Moyer ($5,000), confirmed after the March 2 filing deadline. Cook rates it Solid Republican; no polls yet, but high barriers persist for Democrats ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NE-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$12,320終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus strongly favors the Republican Party at 79% for Nebraska's 1st Congressional District House seat, anchored by incumbent Mike Flood's unopposed Republican primary on May 12 and the district's R+6 Cook Partisan Voter Index, bolstered by his 60%-40% 2024 general election victory amid rural turnout dominance over Lincoln. Flood announced re-election February 15 with $1.2 million cash on hand as of late 2025, far exceeding Democratic primary rivals Christopher Backemeyer ($125,000) and Eric Moyer ($5,000), confirmed after the March 2 filing deadline. Cook rates it Solid Republican; no polls yet, but high barriers persist for Democrats ahead of the November 3 general election.
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