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政治·プライマリ

ミネソタ州知事民主党予備選

Market icon
政治·プライマリ

ミネソタ州知事民主党予備選

コビー・レイン 95%

エイミー・クロブシャー 93%

ビル・ゲイツ・ジュニア 1.7%

スティーブ・サイモン 1.4%

Polymarket

$16,681 Vol.

コビー・レイン 95%

エイミー・クロブシャー 93%

ビル・ゲイツ・ジュニア 1.7%

スティーブ・サイモン 1.4%

Polymarket

$16,681 Vol.

コビー・レイン

$0 Vol.

95%

エイミー・クロブシャー

$14,564 Vol.

93%

ビル・ゲイツ・ジュニア

$2,117 Vol.

2%

スティーブ・サイモン

$0 Vol.

1%

ティム・ウォルツ

$0 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Minnesota, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Minnesota Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Sen. Amy Klobuchar's commanding 92.5% implied probability in the Minnesota DFL gubernatorial primary stems from her January 29 announcement entering the race after Gov. Tim Walz's January 5 exit amid state fraud scandals, quickly unifying Democrats behind her proven vote-getting record as a four-term senator. She overwhelmingly won the February 4 DFL caucus straw poll, with recent general election polls showing double-digit leads over Republicans, bolstering trader confidence ahead of the June 2 filing deadline and August 11 primary. Progressive challenger Kobey Layne trails at 47.5% on grassroots buzz, but lacks Klobuchar's establishment support. Upsets could arise from late entrant heavyweights, scandals, or primary debates shifting voter turnout among key blocs.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Minnesota, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Minnesota Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
音量
$16,681
終了日
2026/08/11
マーケット開始日
Jan 5, 2026, 9:09 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Minnesota, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Minnesota Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Minnesota, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Minnesota Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Sen. Amy Klobuchar's commanding 92.5% implied probability in the Minnesota DFL gubernatorial primary stems from her January 29 announcement entering the race after Gov. Tim Walz's January 5 exit amid state fraud scandals, quickly unifying Democrats behind her proven vote-getting record as a four-term senator. She overwhelmingly won the February 4 DFL caucus straw poll, with recent general election polls showing double-digit leads over Republicans, bolstering trader confidence ahead of the June 2 filing deadline and August 11 primary. Progressive challenger Kobey Layne trails at 47.5% on grassroots buzz, but lacks Klobuchar's establishment support. Upsets could arise from late entrant heavyweights, scandals, or primary debates shifting voter turnout among key blocs.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Minnesota, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Minnesota Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
音量
$16,681
終了日
2026/08/11
マーケット開始日
Jan 5, 2026, 9:09 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Minnesota, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Minnesota Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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よくある質問

「ミネソタ州知事民主党予備選」はPolymarket上の5個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「エイミー・クロブシャー」で93%、次いで「コビー・レイン」が48%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、93¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に93%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「ミネソタ州知事民主党予備選」は$16.7Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Jan 5, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「ミネソタ州知事民主党予備選」で取引するには、このページに記載されている5個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「ミネソタ州知事民主党予備選」の現在のフロントランナーは「エイミー・クロブシャー」で93%であり、市場がこの結果に93%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「コビー・レイン」で48%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「ミネソタ州知事民主党予備選」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。