Incumbent Democratic Governor Maura Healey's dominant position in recent polls drives trader consensus favoring Democrats at 94% implied probability for the November 3, 2026, election. A February 2026 University of New Hampshire survey of 620 likely voters showed Healey leading top Republican primary contenders by wide margins—55%-28% over Mike Kennealy, 56%-27% over Michael Minogue, and 58%-28% over Brian Shortsleeve—reflecting her strong incumbency advantage in deep-blue Massachusetts, where Democrats have won the last two gubernatorial races by over 30 points each. The fragmented GOP primary field, with Minogue at 29% but 48% undecided in a late February Pulse poll, limits Republican consolidation ahead of the September 1 primaries. While odds exceed 90%, a major Healey scandal, standout GOP nominee momentum, or national Republican midterm wave could shift dynamics before election night.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$14,313 Vol.
$14,313 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
94%
共和党
6%
$14,313 Vol.
$14,313 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$5,220 Vol.
94%
共和党
$9,093 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Massachusetts gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Maura Healey's dominant position in recent polls drives trader consensus favoring Democrats at 94% implied probability for the November 3, 2026, election. A February 2026 University of New Hampshire survey of 620 likely voters showed Healey leading top Republican primary contenders by wide margins—55%-28% over Mike Kennealy, 56%-27% over Michael Minogue, and 58%-28% over Brian Shortsleeve—reflecting her strong incumbency advantage in deep-blue Massachusetts, where Democrats have won the last two gubernatorial races by over 30 points each. The fragmented GOP primary field, with Minogue at 29% but 48% undecided in a late February Pulse poll, limits Republican consolidation ahead of the September 1 primaries. While odds exceed 90%, a major Healey scandal, standout GOP nominee momentum, or national Republican midterm wave could shift dynamics before election night.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Massachusetts gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
音量
$14,313終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Massachusetts gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Maura Healey's dominant position in recent polls drives trader consensus favoring Democrats at 94% implied probability for the November 3, 2026, election. A February 2026 University of New Hampshire survey of 620 likely voters showed Healey leading top Republican primary contenders by wide margins—55%-28% over Mike Kennealy, 56%-27% over Michael Minogue, and 58%-28% over Brian Shortsleeve—reflecting her strong incumbency advantage in deep-blue Massachusetts, where Democrats have won the last two gubernatorial races by over 30 points each. The fragmented GOP primary field, with Minogue at 29% but 48% undecided in a late February Pulse poll, limits Republican consolidation ahead of the September 1 primaries. While odds exceed 90%, a major Healey scandal, standout GOP nominee momentum, or national Republican midterm wave could shift dynamics before election night.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Massachusetts gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$14,313終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Governor Maura Healey's dominant position in recent polls drives trader consensus favoring Democrats at 94% implied probability for the November 3, 2026, election. A February 2026 University of New Hampshire survey of 620 likely voters showed Healey leading top Republican primary contenders by wide margins—55%-28% over Mike Kennealy, 56%-27% over Michael Minogue, and 58%-28% over Brian Shortsleeve—reflecting her strong incumbency advantage in deep-blue Massachusetts, where Democrats have won the last two gubernatorial races by over 30 points each. The fragmented GOP primary field, with Minogue at 29% but 48% undecided in a late February Pulse poll, limits Republican consolidation ahead of the September 1 primaries. While odds exceed 90%, a major Healey scandal, standout GOP nominee momentum, or national Republican midterm wave could shift dynamics before election night.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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