Trader consensus heavily favors Graham Platner at 91% implied probability to win Maine's Democratic Senate primary on June 9, reflecting consistent polling leads over Gov. Janet Mills, including a March Emerson College survey showing his significant margin amid ranked-choice voting dynamics. Platner's rapid rise as a combat veteran and oyster farmer—drawing massive town hall crowds and progressive endorsements like Sen. Martin Heinrich's—has capitalized on anti-establishment sentiment against the two-term governor, despite her recent attack ads resurfacing his past Reddit comments. Mills holds at 9% as the main challenger, buoyed by party insiders, but trails in surveys from UNH and others since February. Late scandals, establishment consolidation, or turnout surges among Mills' base could narrow the gap, though barriers remain high for others like Shenna Bellows or Troy Jackson.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日グレアム・プラトナー 91%
ジャネット・ミルズ 9%
ジョーダン・ウッド <1%
ダン・クレバン <1%
$2,132,742 Vol.
$2,132,742 Vol.
グレアム・プラトナー
91%
ジャネット・ミルズ
9%
ダン・クレバン
<1%
チェリー・ピングリー
<1%
ジョーダン・ウッド
<1%
トロイ・ジャクソン
<1%
ジャレッド・ゴールデン
<1%
グレアム・プラトナー 91%
ジャネット・ミルズ 9%
ジョーダン・ウッド <1%
ダン・クレバン <1%
$2,132,742 Vol.
$2,132,742 Vol.
グレアム・プラトナー
91%
ジャネット・ミルズ
9%
ダン・クレバン
<1%
チェリー・ピングリー
<1%
ジョーダン・ウッド
<1%
トロイ・ジャクソン
<1%
ジャレッド・ゴールデン
<1%
If no 2026 Maine Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
マーケット開始日： Sep 15, 2025, 3:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Maine Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Graham Platner at 91% implied probability to win Maine's Democratic Senate primary on June 9, reflecting consistent polling leads over Gov. Janet Mills, including a March Emerson College survey showing his significant margin amid ranked-choice voting dynamics. Platner's rapid rise as a combat veteran and oyster farmer—drawing massive town hall crowds and progressive endorsements like Sen. Martin Heinrich's—has capitalized on anti-establishment sentiment against the two-term governor, despite her recent attack ads resurfacing his past Reddit comments. Mills holds at 9% as the main challenger, buoyed by party insiders, but trails in surveys from UNH and others since February. Late scandals, establishment consolidation, or turnout surges among Mills' base could narrow the gap, though barriers remain high for others like Shenna Bellows or Troy Jackson.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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