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政治·プライマリ

KY -06共和党予備選

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政治·プライマリ

KY -06共和党予備選

ラルフ・アルバラード 45%

アダム・ペレス・アーケット 23.3%

ライアン・ドットソン 19.5%

グレッグ・プルチンスキ 5%

Polymarket

$16,720 Vol.

ラルフ・アルバラード 45%

アダム・ペレス・アーケット 23.3%

ライアン・ドットソン 19.5%

グレッグ・プルチンスキ 5%

Polymarket

$16,720 Vol.

ラルフ・アルバラード

$6,312 Vol.

45%

アダム・ペレス・アーケット

$1,344 Vol.

23%

ライアン・ドットソン

$7,645 Vol.

12%

グレッグ・プルチンスキ

$666 Vol.

5%

ギャビン・ソロモン

$753 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In the open Republican primary for Kentucky's 6th Congressional District—vacated by Rep. Andy Barr's Senate bid—former state Sen. Ralph Alvarado leads trader consensus at 45% implied probability, buoyed by his legislative experience, solid early fundraising ($595,000 raised, $486,000 cash on hand as of December 2025), and a fresh April 1 endorsement from Scott County Judge Executive Joe Pat Covington praising his constituent services record. Adam Perez Arquette follows at 23%, propelled by explosive fundraising ($3.3 million raised, $1.66 million cash), despite death threats prompting event cancellations last week. State Rep. Ryan Dotson sits at 14% on conservative voting credentials but trails in funds, while others lag amid no public polls and the May 19 closed primary six weeks away.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$16,720
終了日
2026/05/19
マーケット開始日
Dec 18, 2025, 3:16 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In the open Republican primary for Kentucky's 6th Congressional District—vacated by Rep. Andy Barr's Senate bid—former state Sen. Ralph Alvarado leads trader consensus at 45% implied probability, buoyed by his legislative experience, solid early fundraising ($595,000 raised, $486,000 cash on hand as of December 2025), and a fresh April 1 endorsement from Scott County Judge Executive Joe Pat Covington praising his constituent services record. Adam Perez Arquette follows at 23%, propelled by explosive fundraising ($3.3 million raised, $1.66 million cash), despite death threats prompting event cancellations last week. State Rep. Ryan Dotson sits at 14% on conservative voting credentials but trails in funds, while others lag amid no public polls and the May 19 closed primary six weeks away.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$16,720
終了日
2026/05/19
マーケット開始日
Dec 18, 2025, 3:16 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「KY -06共和党予備選」はPolymarket上の5個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「ラルフ・アルバラード」で45%、次いで「アダム・ペレス・アーケット」が23%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、45¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に45%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「KY -06共和党予備選」は$16.7Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Dec 18, 2025のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「KY -06共和党予備選」で取引するには、このページに記載されている5個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「KY -06共和党予備選」の現在のフロントランナーは「ラルフ・アルバラード」で45%であり、市場がこの結果に45%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「アダム・ペレス・アーケット」で23%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「KY -06共和党予備選」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。