Name: 2026年にハメネイがイランの最高指導者を退く？
Start: 2025-11-03T19:36:33.607612Z
End: 2026-12-31T00:00:00Z

Use the internal polymarket geolocation service.

poly_geo

Improved notification preferences and types.

notifications_v2

funkit_deposit

funkit_withdraw

authenticated_book_ws

Improved in-game view for sports markets.

mobile_sports_overlay_v2

async_order_submission

Enable updates from the sports websocket.

sports_websocket

Show/hide language selector in navigation

language_selector

Auto-detect and redirect based on browser language

auto_locale_detection

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran's Supreme Leader, Ali Khamenei, is removed from power for any length of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Khamenei will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Supreme Leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

ハメネイ退陣

2026年にハメネイがイランの最高指導者を退く？

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran's Supreme leader, Ali Khamenei, is removed from power for any length of time between December 28, 2024, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Khamenei will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Supreme Leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

2025年にイランの最高指導者を退任するハメネイ？

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ali Khamenei ceases to be Supreme Leader of Iran of for any length of time between December 2, 2024, and June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Khamenei ceases to be Supreme Leader of Iran for any length of time within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes". This market will not resolve to "No" until its timeframe expires and Khamenei has remained Supreme Leader for the entire duration without interruption.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information released by the government of Iran, however, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ali Khamenei ceases to be Supreme Leader of Iran of for any length of time between June 19, 2025, and July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Khamenei ceases to be Supreme Leader of Iran for any length of time within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes". This market will not resolve to "No" until its timeframe expires and Khamenei has remained Supreme Leader for the entire duration without interruption.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information released by the government of Iran, however, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran's Supreme Leader, Ali Khamenei, is removed from power for any length of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Khamenei will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Supreme Leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

カムネイ、6月30日までにイランの最高指導者を退く？

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran's Supreme Leader, Ali Khamenei, is removed from power for any length of time between this market's creation and the specified date and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Khamenei will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Supreme Leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

イランの最高指導者カメネイ、3月31日までに退任か？

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran's Supreme Leader, Ali Khamenei, is removed from power for any length of time between this market's creation and January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Khamenei will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Supreme Leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

ハメネイ氏、1月31日までにイラン最高指導者の地位を離れる？

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for the 'Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?' market (https://polymarket.com/event/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-by-february-28) is priced over the listed value for a majority of minutes during any two-hour period ending by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or earlier. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A tie in the number of minutes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution.

If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome.

The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the 'Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?' market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-by-february-28-over-50 or through the “Get Resolution” tab, with the time set to look at a two-hour window. This will display a two-hour scoring window and the underlying minute-level comparisons. Both interfaces display the same underlying data.

Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.

2月までにハメネイが退く確率は__、1月には？

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran's Supreme Leader, Ali Khamenei, is removed from power for any length of time between this market's creation and February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Khamenei will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Supreme Leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

ハメネイ、2月28日までにイランの最高指導者を退く？

Will Joe Biden get Coronavirus before the election?

Will Airbnb begin publicly trading before Jan 1, 2021?

Will a new Supreme Court Justice be confirmed before Nov 3rd, 2020?

Will Kim Kardashian and Kanye West divorce before Jan 1, 2021?

Will Coinbase begin publicly trading before Jan 1, 2021?

BTCマルチストライク週刊

What will the price of Bitcoin be on November 4th, 2020?

Will Trump win the 2020 U.S. presidential election?

Will there be an Emergency Use Authorization (EUA) granted for a COVID-19 vaccine prior to Nov 3 2020?

What will the total value locked (TVL) in DeFi be at the end of 2020, according to DefiPulse?

What will the USD price of Filecoin ($FIL) be on November 17th, 2020?

Will Drake release a new studio album before the end of 2020?

Which party will win Florida in the 2020 presidential election?

How many confirmed Coronavirus cases will there be at EOY in the USA?

Who will win the 2020 MLB World Series?

Will Dharma’s Phase 1 Retroactive UNI Distribution proposal pass?

Will there be a federal charge filed against Hunter Biden before 2021?

Will BTC break $15k before 2021?

Will Khabib win his UFC 254 Fight?

Will 538 outperform The Economist in forecasting the 2020 Presidential Election?

Who will win the 2020 League of Legends World Championship?

Which party will win Pennsylvania in the 2020 presidential election?

Which party will win Texas in the 2020 presidential election?

Which party will win North Carolina in the 2020 presidential election?

Which party will win Georgia in the 2020 presidential election?

Which party will win Arizona in the 2020 Presidential Election?

Will Donald Trump tweet announcing that he won the election before November 5th 2020?

Will the Associated Press publish a tweet calling the 2020 US presidential election before November 6?

Will the Ethereum 2.0 Genesis Event happen successfully on December 1st, 2020?

Will $BTC break $20k before 2021?

Will Donald Trump formally concede the 2020 US Election before December 1st, 2020?

Will LaMelo Ball be the first pick in the 2020 NBA draft?

Will Kanye West release a new studio album before 2021?

Will Donald Trump attend Joe Biden’s inauguration ceremony in person?

What will Airbnb's market cap be at close on its 1st day publicly trading?

Will Donald Trump be inaugurated for his second term as President of the USA on Inauguration Day, January 20th, 2021?

Will Trump win any of Pennsylvania, Arizona or Georgia?

Will any art piece on Superrare sell for more than $100k before 2021?

Will Uniswap v3 launch before 2021?

Will the Seahawks or the Rams win their week 10 NFL matchup?

Will indoor dining be prohibited in NYC at any point before 2021?

Will Pfizer's COVID-19 vaccine be the first to receive FDA approval or Emergency Use Authorization (EUA)?

Will Sushiswap have more TVL than Uniswap at any time before November 24th, according to DefiPulse?

Will $BTC break $20k before Thanksgiving?

Will Liverpool beat Leicester City in their Matchday 9 game?

Will Deiveson Figueiredo win his UFC 255 match?

What will the average sale price of the Jordan 1 Mocha on StockX be on Christmas Day?

Will Trump Pardon Himself in His First Term?

Which party will win the U.S. Senate runoff in Georgia? (Ossoff - D vs. Perdue - R)

Which party will win the U.S. Senate special election in Georgia? (Loeffler - R vs Warnock - D)

Will Coinbase reach #1 in the Finance category on the US iOS App Store before 2021?

2026年にハメネイがイランの最高指導者を退く？

オーダーブック

市場のコンテキスト

2026年にハメネイがイランの最高指導者を退く？

ルール

2026年にハメネイがイランの最高指導者を退く？

オーダーブック

市場のコンテキスト

2026年にハメネイがイランの最高指導者を退く？

について