Mojtaba Khamenei assumed Iran's supreme leadership in early March 2026 after his father, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, was killed in U.S.-Israeli strikes on February 28. Selected by the Assembly of Experts under reported pressure from the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, the 56-year-old cleric has issued only written statements and made no verified public appearances since his appointment, citing security concerns and possible injuries sustained in the initial attacks. Speculation centers on whether health needs or wartime risks could prompt a medical evacuation abroad, such as to Moscow, though no credible confirmation exists of any departure. Ongoing regional conflict, leadership consolidation challenges, and institutional preferences for continuity continue to shape assessments of his location and mobility.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$1,397,701 Vol.
2026/05/31
5月31日
1%
6月30日
2%
$1,397,701 Vol.
5月31日
$261,063 Vol.
1%
6月30日
$165,029 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Mojtaba Khamenei assumed Iran's supreme leadership in early March 2026 after his father, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, was killed in U.S.-Israeli strikes on February 28. Selected by the Assembly of Experts under reported pressure from the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, the 56-year-old cleric has issued only written statements and made no verified public appearances since his appointment, citing security concerns and possible injuries sustained in the initial attacks. Speculation centers on whether health needs or wartime risks could prompt a medical evacuation abroad, such as to Moscow, though no credible confirmation exists of any departure. Ongoing regional conflict, leadership consolidation challenges, and institutional preferences for continuity continue to shape assessments of his location and mobility.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Mar 24, 2026, 4:24 PM ET
音量
$1,397,701終了日
2026/04/30マーケット開始日
Mar 24, 2026, 4:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Mojtaba Khamenei assumed Iran's supreme leadership in early March 2026 after his father, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, was killed in U.S.-Israeli strikes on February 28. Selected by the Assembly of Experts under reported pressure from the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, the 56-year-old cleric has issued only written statements and made no verified public appearances since his appointment, citing security concerns and possible injuries sustained in the initial attacks. Speculation centers on whether health needs or wartime risks could prompt a medical evacuation abroad, such as to Moscow, though no credible confirmation exists of any departure. Ongoing regional conflict, leadership consolidation challenges, and institutional preferences for continuity continue to shape assessments of his location and mobility.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$1,397,701終了日
2026/04/30マーケット開始日
Mar 24, 2026, 4:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Mojtaba Khamenei assumed Iran's supreme leadership in early March 2026 after his father, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, was killed in U.S.-Israeli strikes on February 28. Selected by the Assembly of Experts under reported pressure from the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, the 56-year-old cleric has issued only written statements and made no verified public appearances since his appointment, citing security concerns and possible injuries sustained in the initial attacks. Speculation centers on whether health needs or wartime risks could prompt a medical evacuation abroad, such as to Moscow, though no credible confirmation exists of any departure. Ongoing regional conflict, leadership consolidation challenges, and institutional preferences for continuity continue to shape assessments of his location and mobility.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問