Mojtaba Khamenei, appointed Iran's Supreme Leader on March 8 following his father Ali Khamenei's death in US-Israeli airstrikes, has made no public appearances since, with statements issued via intermediaries or voice synthesis amid reports of his leg injury from the February 28 "Blue Sparrow" strike that killed his wife and son. Rumors of secret evacuation to Moscow for surgery—circulated by Kuwaiti outlet Al-Jarida—were denied by Iran's ambassador and Russia's Kremlin, which confirmed on March 31 he remains in Iran but refrains from public view for security reasons during escalating military tensions and Revolutionary Guards influence. Traders monitor for a verifiable appearance or further strikes that could prompt relocation, as leadership stability hinges on his confirmed presence amid the regime's transition.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$750,965 Vol.
2026/03/31
March 31
<1%
April 30
3%
5月31日
3%
6月30日
10%
$750,965 Vol.
March 31
$652,913 Vol.
<1%
April 30
$95,150 Vol.
3%
5月31日
$1,282 Vol.
3%
6月30日
$1,620 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Mojtaba Khamenei, appointed Iran's Supreme Leader on March 8 following his father Ali Khamenei's death in US-Israeli airstrikes, has made no public appearances since, with statements issued via intermediaries or voice synthesis amid reports of his leg injury from the February 28 "Blue Sparrow" strike that killed his wife and son. Rumors of secret evacuation to Moscow for surgery—circulated by Kuwaiti outlet Al-Jarida—were denied by Iran's ambassador and Russia's Kremlin, which confirmed on March 31 he remains in Iran but refrains from public view for security reasons during escalating military tensions and Revolutionary Guards influence. Traders monitor for a verifiable appearance or further strikes that could prompt relocation, as leadership stability hinges on his confirmed presence amid the regime's transition.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Mar 10, 2026, 7:53 PM ET
音量
$750,965終了日
2026/04/30マーケット開始日
Mar 10, 2026, 7:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Mojtaba Khamenei, appointed Iran's Supreme Leader on March 8 following his father Ali Khamenei's death in US-Israeli airstrikes, has made no public appearances since, with statements issued via intermediaries or voice synthesis amid reports of his leg injury from the February 28 "Blue Sparrow" strike that killed his wife and son. Rumors of secret evacuation to Moscow for surgery—circulated by Kuwaiti outlet Al-Jarida—were denied by Iran's ambassador and Russia's Kremlin, which confirmed on March 31 he remains in Iran but refrains from public view for security reasons during escalating military tensions and Revolutionary Guards influence. Traders monitor for a verifiable appearance or further strikes that could prompt relocation, as leadership stability hinges on his confirmed presence amid the regime's transition.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$750,965終了日
2026/04/30マーケット開始日
Mar 10, 2026, 7:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Mojtaba Khamenei, appointed Iran's Supreme Leader on March 8 following his father Ali Khamenei's death in US-Israeli airstrikes, has made no public appearances since, with statements issued via intermediaries or voice synthesis amid reports of his leg injury from the February 28 "Blue Sparrow" strike that killed his wife and son. Rumors of secret evacuation to Moscow for surgery—circulated by Kuwaiti outlet Al-Jarida—were denied by Iran's ambassador and Russia's Kremlin, which confirmed on March 31 he remains in Iran but refrains from public view for security reasons during escalating military tensions and Revolutionary Guards influence. Traders monitor for a verifiable appearance or further strikes that could prompt relocation, as leadership stability hinges on his confirmed presence amid the regime's transition.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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