Mojtaba Khamenei, appointed Iran's Supreme Leader after his father Ali Khamenei's death in US-Israeli airstrikes on March 1, 2026, has made no public appearances since early March, fueling unverified rumors of injury, coma treatment in Russia, or outright flight from the country amid escalating military tensions. Iranian officials insist he is in good health and directing affairs from Tehran, corroborated by a Russian envoy's March 31 statement confirming his presence in Iran but avoidance of public view for security reasons during the ongoing conflict. Traders monitor for regime announcements, potential defections, or diplomatic escalations like Strait of Hormuz blockades that could signal instability or force exile, while distinguishing official claims from social media speculation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$764,356 Vol.
2026/04/30
April 30
3%
5月31日
5%
6月30日
10%
$764,356 Vol.
April 30
$98,008 Vol.
3%
5月31日
$2,034 Vol.
5%
6月30日
$1,838 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Mojtaba Khamenei, appointed Iran's Supreme Leader after his father Ali Khamenei's death in US-Israeli airstrikes on March 1, 2026, has made no public appearances since early March, fueling unverified rumors of injury, coma treatment in Russia, or outright flight from the country amid escalating military tensions. Iranian officials insist he is in good health and directing affairs from Tehran, corroborated by a Russian envoy's March 31 statement confirming his presence in Iran but avoidance of public view for security reasons during the ongoing conflict. Traders monitor for regime announcements, potential defections, or diplomatic escalations like Strait of Hormuz blockades that could signal instability or force exile, while distinguishing official claims from social media speculation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Mar 10, 2026, 7:53 PM ET
音量
$764,356終了日
2026/04/30マーケット開始日
Mar 10, 2026, 7:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Mojtaba Khamenei, appointed Iran's Supreme Leader after his father Ali Khamenei's death in US-Israeli airstrikes on March 1, 2026, has made no public appearances since early March, fueling unverified rumors of injury, coma treatment in Russia, or outright flight from the country amid escalating military tensions. Iranian officials insist he is in good health and directing affairs from Tehran, corroborated by a Russian envoy's March 31 statement confirming his presence in Iran but avoidance of public view for security reasons during the ongoing conflict. Traders monitor for regime announcements, potential defections, or diplomatic escalations like Strait of Hormuz blockades that could signal instability or force exile, while distinguishing official claims from social media speculation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$764,356終了日
2026/04/30マーケット開始日
Mar 10, 2026, 7:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Mojtaba Khamenei, appointed Iran's Supreme Leader after his father Ali Khamenei's death in US-Israeli airstrikes on March 1, 2026, has made no public appearances since early March, fueling unverified rumors of injury, coma treatment in Russia, or outright flight from the country amid escalating military tensions. Iranian officials insist he is in good health and directing affairs from Tehran, corroborated by a Russian envoy's March 31 statement confirming his presence in Iran but avoidance of public view for security reasons during the ongoing conflict. Traders monitor for regime announcements, potential defections, or diplomatic escalations like Strait of Hormuz blockades that could signal instability or force exile, while distinguishing official claims from social media speculation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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