Mojtaba Khamenei, selected by Iran's Assembly of Experts in early March 2026 as supreme leader following U.S.-Israeli strikes that killed his father Ali Khamenei, has issued only written statements since his appointment and made no public appearances. Reports indicate he sustained serious injuries in the February 28 attacks on the supreme leader's compound, prompting speculation over his health, location, and decision-making role, with some accounts citing treatment in Moscow or restricted access due to wounds. These developments occur against a backdrop of ongoing regional conflict, internal regime pressures over hereditary succession norms, and prior contingency planning for leadership evacuation amid unrest or security threats. Traders assessing departure timelines focus on medical, diplomatic, and safety factors that could prompt temporary or extended exit from Iran.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$1,397,701 Vol.
5月31日
1%
6月30日
2%
$1,397,701 Vol.
5月31日
1%
6月30日
2%
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日: Mar 24, 2026, 4:24 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Mojtaba Khamenei, selected by Iran's Assembly of Experts in early March 2026 as supreme leader following U.S.-Israeli strikes that killed his father Ali Khamenei, has issued only written statements since his appointment and made no public appearances. Reports indicate he sustained serious injuries in the February 28 attacks on the supreme leader's compound, prompting speculation over his health, location, and decision-making role, with some accounts citing treatment in Moscow or restricted access due to wounds. These developments occur against a backdrop of ongoing regional conflict, internal regime pressures over hereditary succession norms, and prior contingency planning for leadership evacuation amid unrest or security threats. Traders assessing departure timelines focus on medical, diplomatic, and safety factors that could prompt temporary or extended exit from Iran.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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