Norwegian police arrested three Norwegian citizens of Iraqi origin on March 11 for the March 7 improvised explosive device attack on the US Embassy in Oslo, which caused minor damage but no injuries, amid an ongoing US-Iran conflict involving airstrikes and proxy actions. Despite investigations exploring possible foreign state actor involvement, including Iran, no Iranian government, IRGC, or official has claimed responsibility in the three weeks since, aligning with Tehran's pattern of directing extraterritorial operations through deniable proxies like criminal networks without public acknowledgment to limit escalation risks. Trader consensus at 99.4% "No" reflects this silence and elapsed time nearing market resolution, though a late-breaking diplomatic statement or heightened military tensions could still prompt a claim.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日はい
$303,668 Vol.
$303,668 Vol.
はい
$303,668 Vol.
$303,668 Vol.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran explicitly claims responsibility for the attack near the U.S. Embassy in Oslo that occurred on March 7, 2026, by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Claims can come from statements by the Iranian government, military, or intelligence services.
Ambiguous statements which imply responsibility but which do not directly claim it will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Iranian government however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Norwegian police arrested three Norwegian citizens of Iraqi origin on March 11 for the March 7 improvised explosive device attack on the US Embassy in Oslo, which caused minor damage but no injuries, amid an ongoing US-Iran conflict involving airstrikes and proxy actions. Despite investigations exploring possible foreign state actor involvement, including Iran, no Iranian government, IRGC, or official has claimed responsibility in the three weeks since, aligning with Tehran's pattern of directing extraterritorial operations through deniable proxies like criminal networks without public acknowledgment to limit escalation risks. Trader consensus at 99.4% "No" reflects this silence and elapsed time nearing market resolution, though a late-breaking diplomatic statement or heightened military tensions could still prompt a claim.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran explicitly claims responsibility for the attack near the U.S. Embassy in Oslo that occurred on March 7, 2026, by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Claims can come from statements by the Iranian government, military, or intelligence services.
Ambiguous statements which imply responsibility but which do not directly claim it will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Iranian government however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Claims can come from statements by the Iranian government, military, or intelligence services.
Ambiguous statements which imply responsibility but which do not directly claim it will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Iranian government however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Mar 7, 2026, 9:27 PM ET
音量
$303,668マーケット開始日
Mar 7, 2026, 9:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran explicitly claims responsibility for the attack near the U.S. Embassy in Oslo that occurred on March 7, 2026, by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Claims can come from statements by the Iranian government, military, or intelligence services.
Ambiguous statements which imply responsibility but which do not directly claim it will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Iranian government however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Norwegian police arrested three Norwegian citizens of Iraqi origin on March 11 for the March 7 improvised explosive device attack on the US Embassy in Oslo, which caused minor damage but no injuries, amid an ongoing US-Iran conflict involving airstrikes and proxy actions. Despite investigations exploring possible foreign state actor involvement, including Iran, no Iranian government, IRGC, or official has claimed responsibility in the three weeks since, aligning with Tehran's pattern of directing extraterritorial operations through deniable proxies like criminal networks without public acknowledgment to limit escalation risks. Trader consensus at 99.4% "No" reflects this silence and elapsed time nearing market resolution, though a late-breaking diplomatic statement or heightened military tensions could still prompt a claim.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran explicitly claims responsibility for the attack near the U.S. Embassy in Oslo that occurred on March 7, 2026, by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Claims can come from statements by the Iranian government, military, or intelligence services.
Ambiguous statements which imply responsibility but which do not directly claim it will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Iranian government however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Claims can come from statements by the Iranian government, military, or intelligence services.
Ambiguous statements which imply responsibility but which do not directly claim it will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Iranian government however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$303,668マーケット開始日
Mar 7, 2026, 9:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Norwegian police arrested three Norwegian citizens of Iraqi origin on March 11 for the March 7 improvised explosive device attack on the US Embassy in Oslo, which caused minor damage but no injuries, amid an ongoing US-Iran conflict involving airstrikes and proxy actions. Despite investigations exploring possible foreign state actor involvement, including Iran, no Iranian government, IRGC, or official has claimed responsibility in the three weeks since, aligning with Tehran's pattern of directing extraterritorial operations through deniable proxies like criminal networks without public acknowledgment to limit escalation risks. Trader consensus at 99.4% "No" reflects this silence and elapsed time nearing market resolution, though a late-breaking diplomatic statement or heightened military tensions could still prompt a claim.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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