With the March 31 deadline approaching in under 24 hours, no country has announced or carried out the expulsion of a U.S. ambassador, anchoring trader consensus at 99.1% on "No" as the wisdom of crowds reflects the rarity of such drastic diplomatic ruptures without prior escalation signals. Recent tensions, including South Africa's summons of Ambassador Leo Brent Bozell III after opposition EFF demands over his judicial criticisms and U.S. policy clashes, have led to rebukes but no further action from Pretoria. Social media calls for Saudi or Lebanese expulsions amid Trump-MBS rhetoric remain unofficial. Confidence stems from stable bilateral relations elsewhere and historical precedents requiring extended warnings; only a sudden crisis like a major sanctions dispute or territorial flare-up could prompt a last-minute shift before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日はい
$99,345 Vol.
$99,345 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
はい
$99,345 Vol.
$99,345 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any U.S. ambassador is expelled from their assigned country by the government of that country between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59: PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any expulsion from a country where a U.S. ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a U.S. ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, including the U.S. Department of State, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
With the March 31 deadline approaching in under 24 hours, no country has announced or carried out the expulsion of a U.S. ambassador, anchoring trader consensus at 99.1% on "No" as the wisdom of crowds reflects the rarity of such drastic diplomatic ruptures without prior escalation signals. Recent tensions, including South Africa's summons of Ambassador Leo Brent Bozell III after opposition EFF demands over his judicial criticisms and U.S. policy clashes, have led to rebukes but no further action from Pretoria. Social media calls for Saudi or Lebanese expulsions amid Trump-MBS rhetoric remain unofficial. Confidence stems from stable bilateral relations elsewhere and historical precedents requiring extended warnings; only a sudden crisis like a major sanctions dispute or territorial flare-up could prompt a last-minute shift before resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any U.S. ambassador is expelled from their assigned country by the government of that country between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59: PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any expulsion from a country where a U.S. ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a U.S. ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, including the U.S. Department of State, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Any expulsion from a country where a U.S. ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a U.S. ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, including the U.S. Department of State, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Mar 9, 2026, 11:21 PM ET
音量
$99,345終了日
Mar 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 9, 2026, 11:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any U.S. ambassador is expelled from their assigned country by the government of that country between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59: PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any expulsion from a country where a U.S. ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a U.S. ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, including the U.S. Department of State, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
With the March 31 deadline approaching in under 24 hours, no country has announced or carried out the expulsion of a U.S. ambassador, anchoring trader consensus at 99.1% on "No" as the wisdom of crowds reflects the rarity of such drastic diplomatic ruptures without prior escalation signals. Recent tensions, including South Africa's summons of Ambassador Leo Brent Bozell III after opposition EFF demands over his judicial criticisms and U.S. policy clashes, have led to rebukes but no further action from Pretoria. Social media calls for Saudi or Lebanese expulsions amid Trump-MBS rhetoric remain unofficial. Confidence stems from stable bilateral relations elsewhere and historical precedents requiring extended warnings; only a sudden crisis like a major sanctions dispute or territorial flare-up could prompt a last-minute shift before resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any U.S. ambassador is expelled from their assigned country by the government of that country between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59: PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any expulsion from a country where a U.S. ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a U.S. ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, including the U.S. Department of State, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Any expulsion from a country where a U.S. ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a U.S. ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, including the U.S. Department of State, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$99,345終了日
Mar 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 9, 2026, 11:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...With the March 31 deadline approaching in under 24 hours, no country has announced or carried out the expulsion of a U.S. ambassador, anchoring trader consensus at 99.1% on "No" as the wisdom of crowds reflects the rarity of such drastic diplomatic ruptures without prior escalation signals. Recent tensions, including South Africa's summons of Ambassador Leo Brent Bozell III after opposition EFF demands over his judicial criticisms and U.S. policy clashes, have led to rebukes but no further action from Pretoria. Social media calls for Saudi or Lebanese expulsions amid Trump-MBS rhetoric remain unofficial. Confidence stems from stable bilateral relations elsewhere and historical precedents requiring extended warnings; only a sudden crisis like a major sanctions dispute or territorial flare-up could prompt a last-minute shift before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問