Norwegian police arrested three brothers of Iraqi origin on March 11 for the March 8 bombing at the US Embassy in Oslo, treating it as a terrorist act with no reported Iranian ties or direction. US officials, including the State Department, have made no public accusations against Tehran despite heightened US-Iran tensions from recent military escalations. This evidentiary attribution to local suspects drives trader consensus to 100% "No," reflecting skin-in-the-game certainty that no explicit claim of Iranian responsibility will emerge. Realistic shifts could stem from fresh intelligence linking the perpetrators to Iranian proxies or an official White House attribution before market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日はい
$440,910 Vol.
$440,910 Vol.
はい
$440,910 Vol.
$440,910 Vol.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government explicitly claims Iran is responsible for the attack near the U.S. Embassy in Oslo on March 7, 2026, by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Claims can come from statements by the U.S. government, military, or intelligence services.
Official confirmation requires an on-the-record public statement issued by the U.S. government, through an authorized governmental person or entity, speaking in an official capacity, which expressly states that Iran carried out the attack.
The primary resolution source will be official government statements.
Ambiguous statements which imply responsibility but which do not directly claim it will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government. Norwegian police arrested three brothers of Iraqi origin on March 11 for the March 8 bombing at the US Embassy in Oslo, treating it as a terrorist act with no reported Iranian ties or direction. US officials, including the State Department, have made no public accusations against Tehran despite heightened US-Iran tensions from recent military escalations. This evidentiary attribution to local suspects drives trader consensus to 100% "No," reflecting skin-in-the-game certainty that no explicit claim of Iranian responsibility will emerge. Realistic shifts could stem from fresh intelligence linking the perpetrators to Iranian proxies or an official White House attribution before market resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government explicitly claims Iran is responsible for the attack near the U.S. Embassy in Oslo on March 7, 2026, by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Claims can come from statements by the U.S. government, military, or intelligence services.
Official confirmation requires an on-the-record public statement issued by the U.S. government, through an authorized governmental person or entity, speaking in an official capacity, which expressly states that Iran carried out the attack.
The primary resolution source will be official government statements.
Ambiguous statements which imply responsibility but which do not directly claim it will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government.
Claims can come from statements by the U.S. government, military, or intelligence services.
Official confirmation requires an on-the-record public statement issued by the U.S. government, through an authorized governmental person or entity, speaking in an official capacity, which expressly states that Iran carried out the attack.
The primary resolution source will be official government statements.
Ambiguous statements which imply responsibility but which do not directly claim it will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government.
マーケット開始日： Mar 7, 2026, 9:38 PM ET
音量
$440,910マーケット開始日
Mar 7, 2026, 9:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てウィンドウ
最終
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government explicitly claims Iran is responsible for the attack near the U.S. Embassy in Oslo on March 7, 2026, by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Claims can come from statements by the U.S. government, military, or intelligence services.
Official confirmation requires an on-the-record public statement issued by the U.S. government, through an authorized governmental person or entity, speaking in an official capacity, which expressly states that Iran carried out the attack.
The primary resolution source will be official government statements.
Ambiguous statements which imply responsibility but which do not directly claim it will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government. Norwegian police arrested three brothers of Iraqi origin on March 11 for the March 8 bombing at the US Embassy in Oslo, treating it as a terrorist act with no reported Iranian ties or direction. US officials, including the State Department, have made no public accusations against Tehran despite heightened US-Iran tensions from recent military escalations. This evidentiary attribution to local suspects drives trader consensus to 100% "No," reflecting skin-in-the-game certainty that no explicit claim of Iranian responsibility will emerge. Realistic shifts could stem from fresh intelligence linking the perpetrators to Iranian proxies or an official White House attribution before market resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government explicitly claims Iran is responsible for the attack near the U.S. Embassy in Oslo on March 7, 2026, by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Claims can come from statements by the U.S. government, military, or intelligence services.
Official confirmation requires an on-the-record public statement issued by the U.S. government, through an authorized governmental person or entity, speaking in an official capacity, which expressly states that Iran carried out the attack.
The primary resolution source will be official government statements.
Ambiguous statements which imply responsibility but which do not directly claim it will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government.
Claims can come from statements by the U.S. government, military, or intelligence services.
Official confirmation requires an on-the-record public statement issued by the U.S. government, through an authorized governmental person or entity, speaking in an official capacity, which expressly states that Iran carried out the attack.
The primary resolution source will be official government statements.
Ambiguous statements which imply responsibility but which do not directly claim it will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government.
音量
$440,910マーケット開始日
Mar 7, 2026, 9:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てウィンドウ
最終
Norwegian police arrested three brothers of Iraqi origin on March 11 for the March 8 bombing at the US Embassy in Oslo, treating it as a terrorist act with no reported Iranian ties or direction. US officials, including the State Department, have made no public accusations against Tehran despite heightened US-Iran tensions from recent military escalations. This evidentiary attribution to local suspects drives trader consensus to 100% "No," reflecting skin-in-the-game certainty that no explicit claim of Iranian responsibility will emerge. Realistic shifts could stem from fresh intelligence linking the perpetrators to Iranian proxies or an official White House attribution before market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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